Kelso J, Stewart M A
J Child Psychol Psychiatry. 1986 Jan;27(1):77-86. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-7610.1986.tb00623.x.
Fifty-three boys with aggressive conduct disorder were followed up 2 years after their original examination. Twenty-four (45%) no longer had the disorder and were classified as improved. A discriminant function analysis identified characteristics of the boys and their families which accurately predicted the outcome for 85% of the boys. Among the predictors of persisting conduct disorder were a variety of antisocial or aggressive symptoms, firesetting, early age of onset and family deviance.
对53名患有攻击性品行障碍的男孩在初次检查2年后进行了随访。其中24名（45%）不再患有该障碍，被归类为病情改善。判别函数分析确定了男孩及其家庭的特征，这些特征能准确预测85%男孩的预后情况。持续存在品行障碍的预测因素包括各种反社会或攻击性行为症状、纵火、发病年龄早以及家庭异常情况。
