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全球、区域和国家与年龄相关的黄斑变性负担,1990-2019 年:基于 2019 年全球疾病负担研究的年龄-时期-队列分析。

Global, regional, and national burden of age-related macular degeneration, 1990-2019: an age-period-cohort analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease 2019 Study.

机构信息

Department of Ophthalmology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.

Institutes for Systems Genetics, Frontiers Science Centre for Disease-related Molecular Network, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2024 Oct 22;12:1486168. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1486168. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to explore the burden of disease and disparities in age-related macular degeneration (AMD) at the global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2019 using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study, with a particular focus on associations with age, period, and cohort.

METHODS

We derived disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and age-standardized rates of AMD from the GBD 2019. We used an age-period-cohort (APC) model to estimate the overall annual percentage changes in DALYs (net drifts), the annual percentage changes in different age groups (local drifts), the longitudinal age profiles (longitudinal age-specific rates), and the relative risks of period and cohort (period and cohort effects) between 1990 and 2019. Further analysis was conducted by country, region, gender and sociodemographic index (SDI).

RESULTS

Globally, the number of DALYs increased from 296771.9321 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 205462.8041-418699.8184) in 1990 to 564055.0967 (95% UI, 392930.6967-789194.6407) in 2019 (59.7% were female), while the age-standardized DALYs rates decreased from 8.29 per 100,000 (95% UI, 5.8-11.58/100,000) to 7.05 per 100,000 (95% UI, 4.92-9.84/100,000). With increasing age, the burden of AMD increased, and the DALYs rates in female was greater than that in male in all age groups. The burden of disease varied across SDI regions and countries. The top three countries in terms of the number of DALYs were China, India and Italy, accounting for 45% of the global total.

CONCLUSION

The burden of AMD varied according to SDI, country, and sex from 1990 to 2019. Due to global population growth and aging, AMD will continue to be a major public health problem in the future, and relevant health policies need to be continuously improved and optimized.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在利用全球疾病负担(GBD)2019 研究的数据,探讨全球、区域和国家层面与年龄相关的黄斑变性(AMD)的疾病负担和差异,重点关注与年龄、时期和队列的关联。

方法

我们从 GBD 2019 中得出了 AMD 的残疾调整生命年(DALY)和年龄标准化率。我们使用年龄-时期-队列(APC)模型来估计 1990 年至 2019 年期间 DALY 的总体年百分比变化(净漂移)、不同年龄组的年百分比变化(局部漂移)、纵向年龄分布(纵向年龄特异性率)以及时期和队列的相对风险(时期和队列效应)。进一步按国家、地区、性别和社会人口指数(SDI)进行分析。

结果

全球范围内,DALY 数量从 1990 年的 296771.9321(95%置信区间[95%UI],205462.8041-418699.8184)增加到 2019 年的 564055.0967(95%UI,392930.6967-789194.6407)(59.7%为女性),而年龄标准化的 DALY 率从 8.29/100,000(95%UI,5.8-11.58/100,000)下降到 7.05/100,000(95%UI,4.92-9.84/100,000)。随着年龄的增长,AMD 的负担增加,所有年龄组中女性的 DALY 率均高于男性。疾病负担因 SDI 区域和国家而异。从 DALY 数量来看,排名前三的国家是中国、印度和意大利,占全球总数的 45%。

结论

1990 年至 2019 年,AMD 的疾病负担因 SDI、国家和性别而异。由于全球人口增长和老龄化,AMD 将继续成为未来的主要公共卫生问题,相关卫生政策需要不断完善和优化。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de74/11534605/9b82714565f6/fpubh-12-1486168-g001.jpg

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