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游轮在哪里?COVID-19 下的游轮流动性和非流动性。

Where are the cruise ships? mobility and immobility of cruises under COVID-19.

机构信息

Transport Planning and Research Institute, Ministry of Transport, Beijing, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Nov 6;19(11):e0303216. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0303216. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

The aim of this study is to reveal the spatial-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of the static and dynamic distribution of global cruise ships, against the backdrop of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has transformed the global cruise network from "lines" to "points". This study collected trajectory data for 292 cruise ships and data for 789 cruise ports worldwide from March 2020 to July 2021. Based on the relationship between port and navigation, port management rights research, and port geography theory, we analyzed the spatial distribution and spatiotemporal migration of cruise ships with ArcGIS tools. It was found that, compared with normal times, the distribution of cruise ships in regional markets, countries, and ports showed stronger spatial agglomeration characteristics and formed four types, which were mainly influenced by differences in cruise operators' fleet scale, positioning, and itinerary. With the improvement of the epidemic, cruise ships trended to gather at the cruise home port. During the COVID-19 pandemic, there was an obvious separation between the epidemic prevention country, flag country, and operator country. Operators were inclined to berth their cruise ships in the countries where cruise ships were registered, countries of operators, and ports with high integration. Rather than simply emphasizing the static state of the cruise shipping network, the global cruise geography under the COVID-19 pandemic reflects the right relationship between ports, cruise ships, and companies. This study provides a methodological framework for analyzing the cruise shipping network at the port level and has practical implications for micro-interpretation of the dotted cruise shipping network during the COVID-19 pandemic.

摘要

本研究旨在揭示 COVID-19 大流行背景下全球邮轮静态和动态分布的时空特征及其影响因素,大流行将全球邮轮网络从“线”转变为“点”。本研究收集了 2020 年 3 月至 2021 年 7 月全球 292 艘邮轮和 789 个邮轮港口的轨迹数据。基于港口与航海的关系、港口管理权限研究和港口地理理论,我们使用 ArcGIS 工具分析了邮轮的空间分布和时空迁移。研究发现,与正常时期相比,区域市场、国家和港口的邮轮分布表现出更强的空间集聚特征,形成了四种类型,主要受邮轮运营商船队规模、定位和航线差异的影响。随着疫情的改善,邮轮趋于聚集在邮轮母港。在 COVID-19 大流行期间,防疫国家、船旗国和运营商国家之间存在明显的分离。运营商倾向于将邮轮停泊在邮轮注册国、运营商所在国和集成度较高的港口。本研究不是简单地强调邮轮航运网络的静态状态,而是反映了港口、邮轮和公司之间的权利关系。本研究为分析港口层面的邮轮航运网络提供了方法框架,对 COVID-19 大流行期间点状邮轮航运网络的微观解释具有实际意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bce/11540423/8faf0bcf0150/pone.0303216.g001.jpg

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