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中国因过错驾驶和酒驾导致的道路交通死亡事故:2017-2020 年期间的时空分析。

Road traffic deaths caused by at-fault drivers and drinking-driving in China: A spatiotemporal analysis of the 2017-2020 period.

机构信息

Department of Sociology, Faculty of Humanities, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.

Hong Kong Jockey Club Centre for Suicide Research and Prevention, Hong Kong Jockey Club Building for Interdisciplinary Research, The University of Hong Kong, 5 Sasson Road, Pokfulam, Hong Kong, China.

出版信息

Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol. 2024 Nov;51:100695. doi: 10.1016/j.sste.2024.100695. Epub 2024 Oct 19.

DOI:10.1016/j.sste.2024.100695
PMID:39615974
Abstract

In China, the role that alcohol plays in road traffic deaths (RTDs) is poorly understood. In this study, RTD rates caused by at-fault drivers and drinking-driving by cases per 100,000 people were calculated at the city and provincial levels in China during 2017-2020. Spatial lag modeling was applied to measure the influence of drinking-driving RTD rates on at-fault RTD rates. In addition, the influence of seven geographic regions, six city tiers, three ethnicities, and six socioeconomic factors on drinking-driving and at-fault RTD rates was assessed. Drinking-driving RTD rates were positively associated with at-fault RTD rates. GDP per capita was negatively associated with drinking-driving RTD rates, but unemployment rates were positively associated. This study highlights the influence of drinking-driving on overall at-fault behavior. The reinforcement of traffic regulations against drinking-driving and general awareness could reduce RTD rates.

摘要

在中国,人们对酒精在道路交通事故死亡(RTD)中的作用了解甚少。在这项研究中,我们计算了 2017-2020 年中国城市和省级层面因过错司机导致的 RTD 率和每 10 万人中因酒后驾车导致的 RTD 率。我们应用空间滞后模型来衡量酒后驾车 RTD 率对过错 RTD 率的影响。此外,我们还评估了七个地理区域、六个城市级别、三个民族和六个社会经济因素对酒后驾车和过错 RTD 率的影响。酒后驾车 RTD 率与过错 RTD 率呈正相关。人均 GDP 与酒后驾车 RTD 率呈负相关,但失业率与酒后驾车 RTD 率呈正相关。本研究强调了酒后驾车对整体过错行为的影响。加强对酒后驾车的交通法规和一般意识的宣传教育可以降低 RTD 率。

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