Ureta Carolina, Ramírez-Barrón Mercedes, Ruán-Soto Felipe, Kolb Melanie, Martínez-Cruz Adán L, Gasparello Giovanna, Sánchez-Cordero Víctor
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad de México, México.
Investigadora por México-Conahcyt and Member of Laboratorio Nacional de la Biología del Cambio Climático, Ciudad de México, México.
PLoS One. 2024 Dec 2;19(12):e0310623. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0310623. eCollection 2024.
Bats provide important ecosystem services for agriculture, such as pest control, a function that is particularly relevant for small-scale farmers. However, climate change is causing a decrease in bat populations. To assess the potential impacts of climate change on insectivorous bats and the implications on small-scale farming of indigenous communities in the Chiapas Highlands in southern Mexico we developed a three-step protocol: (1) projecting distribution shifts of insectivorous bats under climate change scenarios using non-dispersal and limited-full dispersal assumptions, (2) using official information to estimate the average economic value of conducting chemical pest control in crops at a state level, (3) surveying small-scale farmers to estimate the local economic value of pest control and determine how bats are perceived by small-scale farmers. Our models project shifts in bat species due to climate change. Given that new suitable climatic areas are also projected, if we assume a limited-full dispersal scenario, bats might not be as at risk by climate change, but shifting their distribution to more suitable habitats will probably affect the dynamic of the ecosystem service they provide. The official estimated value of chemical pest control is $15.15 USD/ha, while the estimated cost resulting from a hybrid survey with small-scale farmers was $47.53 USD/ha. The difference in cost could be related to an overuse of insecticides for pest control or an increase in price due to reduced accessibility. Sixty percent of surveyed farmers perceived a decline in bat populations, 68% were unaware of the benefits that bats provide to their crops, 51% believe that bats are mainly hematophagous, and 10% recognize that people harm or kill bats. A new approach including communicating small-scale farmers in their native languages the benefits that insectivorous bats provide along with a pest management strategy for the efficient use of insecticides needs to be implemented.
蝙蝠为农业提供重要的生态系统服务,如害虫控制,这一功能对小规模农户尤为重要。然而,气候变化正在导致蝙蝠数量减少。为了评估气候变化对食虫蝙蝠的潜在影响以及对墨西哥南部恰帕斯高地土著社区小规模农业的影响,我们制定了一个三步方案:(1)使用非扩散和有限完全扩散假设,预测气候变化情景下食虫蝙蝠的分布变化;(2)利用官方信息估计在州一级对作物进行化学害虫控制的平均经济价值;(3)对小规模农户进行调查,估计害虫控制的当地经济价值,并确定小规模农户对蝙蝠的看法。我们的模型预测了气候变化导致的蝙蝠物种变化。鉴于预计也会出现新的适宜气候区域,如果我们假设有限完全扩散情景,蝙蝠可能不会因气候变化而面临同样的风险,但将其分布转移到更适宜的栖息地可能会影响它们所提供的生态系统服务的动态。化学害虫控制的官方估计价值为15.15美元/公顷,而与小规模农户进行混合调查得出的估计成本为47.53美元/公顷。成本差异可能与过度使用杀虫剂进行害虫控制或因可及性降低导致价格上涨有关。60%的受访农户认为蝙蝠数量在下降,68%的人不知道蝙蝠对其作物的益处,51%的人认为蝙蝠主要是吸血的,10%的人认识到人们会伤害或杀死蝙蝠。需要实施一种新方法,包括用当地语言与小规模农户交流食虫蝙蝠的益处以及有效使用杀虫剂的害虫管理策略。