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[医学的未来:对“水晶球”的明智洞察]

[The future of medicine: an informed look into the "crystal ball"].

作者信息

Grgic Ivica

出版信息

Dtsch Med Wochenschr. 2024 Dec;149(24-25):1552-1559. doi: 10.1055/a-2410-9532. Epub 2024 Dec 4.

Abstract

This article explores potential future scenarios for the medical field based on current trends, technological advancements, and social dynamics. By examining advances in artificial intelligence, immersive technologies, genomics, and digital health infrastructure, the paper envisions a healthcare system poised for transformative change. The anticipated role of AI as a digital assistant in diagnostics, resource management, and personalized medicine is highlighted, alongside the implications for clinical workflows. Immersive technologies, such as VR and AR, promise enhancements in medical education, patient care, and therapeutic interventions. Advances in genomics and gene editing technologies such as CRISPR further open possibilities for personalized treatment regimens and potential cures for genetic diseases. However, these innovations introduce new ethical challenges around privacy, data security, and clinical accountability. The article also addresses the healthcare implications of climate change, aging populations, and global conflicts, urging preparedness and resilience within healthcare systems. Taken together, it emphasizes the need for a balanced approach to innovation, integrating ethical considerations to foster a future where medicine remains empathetic and human-centered, even as it becomes more data-driven and technologically complex.

摘要

本文基于当前趋势、技术进步和社会动态,探讨了医学领域未来可能出现的情景。通过研究人工智能、沉浸式技术、基因组学和数字健康基础设施的进展,本文设想了一个即将发生变革性变化的医疗保健系统。文中强调了人工智能作为诊断、资源管理和个性化医疗中的数字助手的预期作用,以及对临床工作流程的影响。虚拟现实(VR)和增强现实(AR)等沉浸式技术有望改善医学教育、患者护理和治疗干预。基因组学和基因编辑技术(如CRISPR)的进步进一步为个性化治疗方案和遗传疾病的潜在治愈方法开辟了可能性。然而,这些创新在隐私、数据安全和临床问责制方面带来了新的伦理挑战。本文还讨论了气候变化、人口老龄化和全球冲突对医疗保健的影响,敦促医疗保健系统做好准备并具备适应能力。总体而言,它强调需要采取平衡的创新方法,将伦理考量纳入其中,以营造一个未来医学,即使变得更加数据驱动和技术复杂,仍能保持同理心并以患者为中心。

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