Bae Suyeong, Lee Mi Jung, Hong Ickpyo
Department of Occupational Therapy, Graduate School, Yonsei University, Wonju, Korea.
Department of Physical Therapy and Rehabilitation Sciences, School of Health Professions, University of Texas Medical Branch, Galveston, TX, USA.
J Prev Med Public Health. 2025 Mar;58(2):127-135. doi: 10.3961/jpmph.24.324. Epub 2024 Oct 23.
This study aimed to identify factors associated with life satisfaction by developing machine learning (ML) models to predict life satisfaction in older adults living alone.
Data were extracted from 3112 older adults participating in the 2020 Korea Senior Survey. We employed 5 ML models to classify the life satisfaction of older adults living alone: logistic Lasso regression, decision tree-based classification and regression tree (CART), C5.0, random forest, and extreme gradient boost (XGBoost). The variables used as predictors included demographics, health status, functional abilities, environmental factors, and activity participation. The performance of these ML models was evaluated based on accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and area under the curve (AUC). Additionally, we assessed the significance of variable importance as indicated by the final classification models.
Out of the 1411 older adults living alone, 45.3% expressed satisfaction with their lives. The XGBoost model surpassed the performance of other models, achieving an F1-score of 0.72 and an AUC of 0.75. According to the XGBoost model, the five most important variables influencing life satisfaction were overall community satisfaction, self-rated health, opportunities to interact with neighbors, proximity to a child, and satisfaction with residence.
Overall satisfaction with the community environment emerged as the most significant predictor of life satisfaction among older adults living alone. These findings indicate that enhancing the supportiveness of the community environment could improve life satisfaction for this demographic.
本研究旨在通过开发机器学习(ML)模型来预测独居老年人的生活满意度,从而确定与生活满意度相关的因素。
数据取自参与2020年韩国老年人调查的3112名老年人。我们采用了5种ML模型对独居老年人的生活满意度进行分类:逻辑套索回归、基于决策树的分类与回归树(CART)、C5.0、随机森林和极端梯度提升(XGBoost)。用作预测因子的变量包括人口统计学特征、健康状况、功能能力、环境因素和活动参与情况。这些ML模型的性能基于准确率、精确率、召回率、F1分数和曲线下面积(AUC)进行评估。此外,我们评估了最终分类模型所表明的变量重要性的显著性。
在1411名独居老年人中,45.3%的人表示对自己的生活满意。XGBoost模型的性能超过了其他模型,F1分数达到0.72,AUC为0.75。根据XGBoost模型,影响生活满意度的五个最重要变量是对社区的总体满意度、自评健康状况、与邻居互动的机会、与子女的距离以及对居住环境的满意度。
对社区环境的总体满意度成为独居老年人生活满意度的最重要预测因素。这些发现表明,提高社区环境的支持性可以改善这一人群的生活满意度。