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美国公众对科学的信任迅速分化。

Rapidly diverging public trust in science in the United States.

作者信息

Milkoreit Manjana, Smith E Keith

机构信息

University of Oslo, Norway.

ETH Zurich, Switzerland.

出版信息

Public Underst Sci. 2024 Dec 7;34(5):9636625241302970. doi: 10.1177/09636625241302970.

Abstract

Trust in science is crucial to resolving societal problems. Americans across political ideologies have high levels of trust in science-a stable pattern observed over the past 50 years. Yet, trust in science varies by individual and group characteristics and faces several threats, from political actors, increased political polarization, or global crises. We revisit historical trends of trust in science among Americans by political orientation. We find steadily diverging trends by political views since the 1990s, and a drastically and rapidly opening gap since 2018. Recent unprecedented changes are driven not only by decreases in trust among conservatives but also by increases among liberals. Existing theoretical accounts do not fully explain these patterns. Diverging attitudes toward the institution of science can diminish capacity for collective problem-solving, eroding the shared foundation for decision-making and political discourse.

摘要

对科学的信任对于解决社会问题至关重要。不同政治意识形态的美国人对科学都高度信任——这是过去50年来一直存在的稳定模式。然而,对科学的信任因个人和群体特征而异,并面临着来自政治行为体、政治两极分化加剧或全球危机等诸多威胁。我们按政治倾向重新审视了美国人对科学信任的历史趋势。我们发现,自20世纪90年代以来,政治观点导致的趋势稳步分化,自2018年以来差距急剧且迅速扩大。近期前所未有的变化不仅是由保守派信任度下降导致的,也是由自由派信任度上升导致的。现有的理论解释并不能完全说明这些模式。对科学制度的不同态度会削弱集体解决问题的能力,侵蚀决策和政治话语的共同基础。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c891/12177194/dec9aa43a224/10.1177_09636625241302970-fig1.jpg

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