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美国公众对科学的信心趋势及进步的机会。

Trends in U.S. public confidence in science and opportunities for progress.

机构信息

Office of the Vice President for Research and Department of Political Science, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109.

Dean, School of Public Health, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405.

出版信息

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2024 Mar 12;121(11):e2319488121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2319488121. Epub 2024 Mar 4.

Abstract

In recent years, many questions have been raised about whether public confidence in science is changing. To clarify recent trends in the public's confidence and factors that are associated with these feelings, an effort initiated by the National Academies' Strategic Council for Research Excellence, Integrity, and Trust (the Strategic Council) analyzed findings from multiple survey research organizations. The Strategic Council's effort, which began in 2022, found that U.S. public confidence in science, the scientific community, and leaders of scientific communities is high relative to other civic, cultural, and governmental institutions for which researchers regularly collect such data. However, confidence in these institutions has fallen during the previous 5 years. Science's decline, while real, is similar to or less than that in the other groups. A recent study goes into greater detail by exploring public views of science. From these data, we observe that many of the surveyed U.S. public question the extent to which scientists share their values or overcome personal biases when presenting conclusions. At the same time, large majorities agree on certain types of actions that they want scientists to take. For example, 84% respond that it is "somewhat important" or "very important" for scientists to disclose their funders. Ninety-two percent (92%) offer the same responses to scientists "being open to changing their minds based on new evidence." Collectively, these data clarify how the U.S. public views science and scientists. They also suggest actions that can affect public confidence in science and scientists in the years to come.

摘要

近年来,人们对公众对科学的信心是否正在发生变化提出了诸多疑问。为了厘清公众信心的最新趋势以及与这些感受相关的因素,由美国国家科学院卓越、诚信和信任研究战略委员会(战略委员会)发起的一项工作,分析了多个调查研究组织的调查结果。该战略委员会于 2022 年开始这项工作,发现与其他经常收集此类数据的公民、文化和政府机构相比,美国公众对科学、科学界和科学界领导人的信心很高。然而,这些机构的信心在过去 5 年有所下降。科学的衰落虽然真实存在,但与其他群体相比,情况类似或更轻。最近的一项研究更详细地探讨了公众对科学的看法。从这些数据中,我们观察到,许多接受调查的美国公众质疑科学家在陈述结论时分享其价值观或克服个人偏见的程度。与此同时,绝大多数人都同意他们希望科学家采取某些类型的行动。例如,84%的人认为科学家披露资助者的情况“有些重要”或“非常重要”。92%的人对科学家“根据新证据改变主意持开放态度”的情况做出了同样的回应。这些数据共同阐明了美国公众对科学和科学家的看法。它们还提出了在未来几年可能影响公众对科学和科学家信心的行动。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5ca1/10945819/d502fcc7bfa3/pnas.2319488121fig01.jpg

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