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为全职员工统计学家开发一个贝叶斯研讨会。

Developing a Bayesian workshop for full-time staff statisticians.

作者信息

Khalatbari Shokoufeh, Baladandayuthapani Veera, Kaciroti Niko, Samuels Eli, Bugden Jane, Spino Cathie

机构信息

The Michigan Institute for Clinical and Health Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.

Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.

出版信息

J Clin Transl Sci. 2024 Jun 4;8(1):e105. doi: 10.1017/cts.2024.558. eCollection 2024.

DOI:10.1017/cts.2024.558
PMID:39655005
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11626572/
Abstract

INTRODUCTION

There are two main schools of thought about statistical inference: frequentist and Bayesian. The frequentist approach relies solely on available data for predictions, while the Bayesian approach incorporates both data and prior knowledge about the event of interest. Bayesian methods were developed hundreds of years ago; however, they were rarely used due to computational challenges and conflicts between the two schools of thought. Recent advances in computational capabilities and a shift toward leveraging prior knowledge for inferences have led to increased use of Bayesian methods.

METHODS

Many biostatisticians with expertise in frequentist approaches lack the skills to apply Bayesian techniques. To address this gap, four faculty experts in Bayesian modeling at the University of Michigan developed a practical, customized workshop series. The training, tailored to accommodate the schedules of full-time staff, focused on immersive, project-based learning rather than traditional lecture-based methods. Surveys were conducted to assess the impact of the program.

RESULTS

All 20 participants completed the program and when surveyed reported an increased understanding of Bayesian theory and greater confidence in using these techniques. Capstone projects demonstrated participants' ability to apply Bayesian methodology. The workshop not only enhanced the participants' skills but also positioned them to readily apply Bayesian techniques in their work.

CONCLUSIONS

Accommodating the schedules of full-time biostatistical staff enabled full participation. The immersive project-based learning approach resulted in building skills and increasing confidence among staff statisticians who were unfamiliar with Bayesian methods and their practical applications.

摘要

引言

关于统计推断主要有两种思想流派:频率学派和贝叶斯学派。频率学派的方法仅依靠可用数据进行预测,而贝叶斯学派的方法则将数据和关于感兴趣事件的先验知识结合起来。贝叶斯方法在数百年前就已发展起来;然而,由于计算方面的挑战以及两个学派之间的冲突,它们很少被使用。计算能力的最新进展以及向利用先验知识进行推断的转变,导致贝叶斯方法的使用有所增加。

方法

许多擅长频率学派方法的生物统计学家缺乏应用贝叶斯技术的技能。为了弥补这一差距,密歇根大学的四位贝叶斯建模方面的教师专家开发了一个实用的、定制的研讨会系列。该培训针对全职员工的日程安排进行了调整,侧重于沉浸式的、基于项目的学习,而非传统的基于讲座的方法。通过调查来评估该项目的影响。

结果

所有二十名参与者都完成了该项目,在接受调查时表示对贝叶斯理论的理解有所增加,并且在使用这些技术方面更有信心。顶点项目展示了参与者应用贝叶斯方法的能力。该研讨会不仅提高了参与者的技能,还使他们能够在工作中轻松应用贝叶斯技术。

结论

适应全职生物统计人员的日程安排使得全员能够参与。沉浸式的基于项目的学习方法使不熟悉贝叶斯方法及其实际应用的统计人员提高了技能并增强了信心。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b699/11626572/1fca74b7a22c/S2059866124005582_fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b699/11626572/db0787cddabf/S2059866124005582_fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b699/11626572/1fca74b7a22c/S2059866124005582_fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b699/11626572/db0787cddabf/S2059866124005582_fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b699/11626572/1fca74b7a22c/S2059866124005582_fig2.jpg

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