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96个国家新冠病毒病及其他传染病死亡结局的联合外部评估

Evaluation of joint external evaluation to COVID-19 and other infectious diseases mortality outcomes in 96 countries.

作者信息

Lee Yuri, Kim Siwoo, Lee Sieun, Kim Min Kyung, Gostin Lawrence O, Oh Juhwan

机构信息

Department of Health and Medical Information, Myongji College, Seodaemun-Gu, Seoul 03656, Republic of Korea.

Division of Disease Surveillance Strategy, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, 187 Osongsaengmyeong2-ro, Osong-eup, Heungdeok-gu, Cheongju-si, Chungcheongbuk-do, 28159, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

Int Health. 2025 Jul 1;17(4):440-451. doi: 10.1093/inthealth/ihae077.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

This study evaluated the effectiveness of Joint External Evaluation (JEE) scores with regard to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and other infectious diseases performance in 96 countries. To propose a revised JEE tool, potential JEE indicators were also examined.

METHODS

JEE data from 2016-2019 were linked with outcomes such as COVID-19 fatality rates and infections, as well as mortality rates for other infectious diseases. We also examined potential indicators such as the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and Universal Health Coverage index to propose enhancements to the JEE tool. Multiple regression analysis was used to assess these associations.

RESULTS

The average JEE score was 2.70 (SD=0.92) in 96 countries. Detection capabilities received the highest average score (3.23), while the other areas (2.30) section received the lowest scores. However, the analysis revealed that the JEE tool had limited predictive accuracy for COVID-19 outcomes. By contrast, the JEE scores showed a negative association with the performance of other infectious diseases. Notably, SDGs 2 (zero hunger), 4 (quality education) and 8 (decent work and economic growth) were strongly associated with better COVID-19 outcomes.

CONCLUSION

The JEE scores showed limited predictive value for COVID-19 mortality outcomes in 96 countries. The tool offers insights into health security, but needs revision to better handle future pandemics.

摘要

背景

本研究评估了联合外部评估(JEE)分数在96个国家中对2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)及其他传染病防控工作的有效性。为提出修订后的JEE工具,还对潜在的JEE指标进行了研究。

方法

将2016 - 2019年的JEE数据与COVID-19死亡率、感染率以及其他传染病死亡率等结果相关联。我们还研究了可持续发展目标(SDGs)和全民健康覆盖指数等潜在指标,以提出对JEE工具的改进建议。采用多元回归分析来评估这些关联。

结果

96个国家的JEE平均得分为2.70(标准差 = 0.92)。检测能力得分最高(3.23),而其他领域(2.30)得分最低。然而,分析表明JEE工具对COVID-19结果的预测准确性有限。相比之下,JEE分数与其他传染病的防控表现呈负相关。值得注意的是,可持续发展目标2(零饥饿)、4(优质教育)和8(体面工作和经济增长)与更好的COVID-19防控结果密切相关。

结论

JEE分数对96个国家的COVID-19死亡率结果显示出有限的预测价值。该工具为卫生安全提供了见解,但需要修订以更好地应对未来的大流行。

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