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阳光之州不均衡的热负荷:佛罗里达州与热相关疾病的空间模式及社会经济差异

Uneven heat burden in the sunshine state: Spatial patterns and socio-economic disparities of heat-related illness in Florida.

作者信息

Ma Cong, Qiang Yi, Zhang Kai

机构信息

School of Geosciences, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, USA.

Department of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University at Albany, State University of New York, Rensselaer, NY, USA.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2025 Jan 1;958:177985. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.177985. Epub 2024 Dec 12.

Abstract

Climate change has increased the frequency and severity of extreme heat events globally, adversely affecting socio-economic conditions and public health. However, extreme heat has disparate effects on different population groups and the socio-economic determinants of its health effects are not well understood. In this study, we analyzed the spatial patterns of heat-related illness (HRI) visit rates at the zip-code level in Florida and applied statistical methods to examine the relationships between HRIs and environmental and socio-economic variables. Hierarchical regression analysis was used to evaluate the socio-economic effects on HRI visit rates under the same heat conditions. This is a two-step approach: we first included heat indicators in the baseline model and then added the socio-economic variables to assess their unique contributions in predicting HRI visits. Our findings indicate that temperature can only explain a small fraction of the variance in HRI cases (R = 0.04, p < 0.01), while socio-economic variables show stronger associations (R = 0.42, p < 0.01 in urban areas and R = 0.20, p < 0.01 in rural areas). Notably, marginalized and disadvantaged populations (e.g., individuals in poverty, those employed in construction, and those with disabilities) are positively associated with HRIs (p < 0.01). These findings highlight the disproportionate impacts of heat-related health issues on disadvantaged groups, calling for climate justice policy interventions. Additionally, a comparative analysis between rural and urban areas revealed different determinants of HRIs. Our study enhances the understanding of the socio-economic determinants and disparities of HRIs in Florida, providing actionable insights for policymakers and health agencies to prioritize emergency services and heat resilience planning.

摘要

气候变化增加了全球极端高温事件的频率和严重程度,对社会经济状况和公众健康产生了不利影响。然而,极端高温对不同人群的影响各不相同,其对健康影响的社会经济决定因素也尚未得到充分理解。在本研究中,我们分析了佛罗里达州邮政编码区域层面与高温相关疾病(HRI)就诊率的空间模式,并应用统计方法研究了HRI与环境及社会经济变量之间的关系。采用分层回归分析来评估在相同高温条件下社会经济因素对HRI就诊率的影响。这是一种两步法:我们首先在基线模型中纳入高温指标,然后添加社会经济变量以评估它们在预测HRI就诊方面的独特贡献。我们的研究结果表明,温度只能解释HRI病例中一小部分的方差(R = 0.04,p < 0.01),而社会经济变量显示出更强的关联性(城市地区R = 0.42,p < 0.01;农村地区R = 0.20,p < 0.01)。值得注意的是,边缘化和弱势群体(例如贫困人口、建筑行业从业者和残疾人)与HRI呈正相关(p < 0.01)。这些发现凸显了高温相关健康问题对弱势群体的不成比例影响,呼吁采取气候正义政策干预措施。此外,城乡之间的比较分析揭示了HRI的不同决定因素。我们的研究增进了对佛罗里达州HRI的社会经济决定因素和差异的理解,为政策制定者和卫生机构在确定应急服务和耐热能力规划的优先事项方面提供了可操作的见解。

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