Liu Lu, Lu Li-Dan, Yang Guo-Jing, Qian Men-Bao, Yang Kun, Tan Feng, Zhou Xiao-Nong
National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases,National Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research), NHC Key Laboratory of Parasite and Vector Biology, WHO Collaborating Center for Tropical Diseases, Shanghai, People's Republic of China.
Key Laboratory of National Health Commission (NHC) on Parasitic Disease Control and Prevention, Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory on Parasite and Vector Control Technology, Jiangsu Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Wuxi, People's Republic of China.
Infect Dis Poverty. 2024 Dec 16;13(1):95. doi: 10.1186/s40249-024-01265-6.
Food-borne trematodiases (FBTs), mainly encompassing clonorchiasis, fascioliasis, fasciolopsiasis, opisthorchiasis, and paragonimiasis, is a neglected public health problem, particularly in the WHO South-East Asia and the Western Pacific regions. This study evaluates the global, regional, and national disease burden of FBTs from 1990 to 2021 and projects trends to 2030, underscore the need for targeted prevention and control.
Using the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database, the crude and the age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) and age-standardized prevalence disability-adjusted life years rate (ASDR) of FBTs at the global, regional and national level from 1990 to 2021 were described. The pivotal years of trend changes were identified using joinpoint regression analysis. The effects of age, period, cohort on FBTs prevalence and correlation with the sociodemographic index (SDI) was analyzed. Finally, the worldwide disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for FBTs, projected up to 2030 using the Bayesian age-period-cohort model, were analyzed.
In 2021, 44,466,329 FBTs cases [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 40,017,217, 50,034,921], and 998,028 DALYs [95% UI: 569,766, 1,638,112] were estimated across 17 countries. The Western Pacific region exhibited the highest ASPR and ASDR, with the values of 1649.26 (95% UI: 1461.95, 1881.64) and 36.54 (95% UI: 19.77, 64.16), respectively. From 1990 to 2021, Lao PDR, Thailand, and the Philippines showed the most substantial declines in FBTs, while Kazakhstan had the largest average annual percentage change in DALYs (- 6.60, 95% UI: - 7.10, - 6.10). High-middle and middle SDI countries exhibited higher burden, with ASDR values of 28.03 (95% UI: 15.41, 48.73) and 16.63 (95% UI: 9.32, 27.68), respectively. The disease burden was greater among males, peaking in the 50-59 age group. The projected ASDR in 2030 is 13.10 for males and 8.40 for females.
FBTs remain a public health threat, with the global ASDR projected to remain stable, showing only a slight decrease by 2030. Low-income countries face ambiguous mortality rates and underestimated disease burdens, highlighting the need for improved surveillance. To achieve the 2030 NTD goal, comprehensive surveillance and integrated strategies derived using a One Health approach should be prioritized to control FBTs effectively.
食源性吸虫病(FBTs)主要包括华支睾吸虫病、肝片吸虫病、姜片吸虫病、后睾吸虫病和肺吸虫病,是一个被忽视的公共卫生问题,特别是在世界卫生组织东南亚和西太平洋区域。本研究评估了1990年至2021年全球、区域和国家层面食源性吸虫病的疾病负担,并预测了到2030年的趋势,强调了针对性预防和控制的必要性。
利用《2021年全球疾病负担》数据库,描述了1990年至2021年全球、区域和国家层面食源性吸虫病的粗患病率和年龄标准化患病率(ASPR)以及年龄标准化患病率伤残调整生命年率(ASDR)。使用Joinpoint回归分析确定趋势变化的关键年份。分析了年龄、时期和队列对食源性吸虫病患病率的影响以及与社会人口指数(SDI)的相关性。最后,分析了使用贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列模型预测的到2030年全球食源性吸虫病伤残调整生命年(DALYs)。
2021年,估计17个国家共有44466329例食源性吸虫病病例[95%不确定区间(UI):40017217,50034921],998028个伤残调整生命年[95%UI:569766,1638112]。西太平洋区域的年龄标准化患病率和年龄标准化患病率伤残调整生命年率最高,分别为1649.26(95%UI:1461.95,1881.64)和36.54(95%UI:19.77,64.16)。1990年至2021年,老挝、泰国和菲律宾的食源性吸虫病下降幅度最大,而哈萨克斯坦的伤残调整生命年平均年变化百分比最大(-6.60,95%UI:-7.10,-6.10)。高中等社会人口指数国家和中等社会人口指数国家的负担较高,年龄标准化患病率伤残调整生命年率分别为28.03(95%UI:15.4l,48.73)和16.63(95%UI:9.32,27.68)。男性的疾病负担更大,在50-59岁年龄组达到峰值。预计2030年男性的年龄标准化患病率伤残调整生命年率为13.10,女性为8.40。
食源性吸虫病仍然是一种公共卫生威胁,预计全球年龄标准化患病率伤残调整生命年率将保持稳定,到2030年只会略有下降。低收入国家面临不明确的死亡率和被低估的疾病负担,突出了加强监测的必要性。为实现2030年被忽视热带病目标,应优先采用综合监测和基于“同一健康”方法的综合策略,以有效控制食源性吸虫病。