Ashraf Cheema Ali, Sharif Gul, Kirshan Kumar Sanjay, Butt Hamza Naseer, Khan Ibrahim Ali, Hussain Jawad, Manzoor Hiba, Alshammari Nawaf Safaq, Alrashid Fauwaz F
Emergency Medicine, Gondal Hospital Gujranwala, Gujranwala, PAK.
Surgery, Lady Reading Hospital, Peshawar, PAK.
Cureus. 2024 Nov 15;16(11):e73771. doi: 10.7759/cureus.73771. eCollection 2024 Nov.
Aims The aim of this study was to evaluate the severity of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) using the computed tomography severity index (CTSI) and the modified CTSI (MCTSI) and to assess their correlation with clinical outcome measures. Additionally, the study aimed to compare the diagnostic performance of these indices in predicting moderate to severe COPD, based on patient outcomes. Materials and methods In this prospective study, conducted between November 2023 and March 2024, two radiologists, blinded to clinical outcomes, independently assessed CTSI and MCTSI. Clinical outcomes evaluated included the duration of hospital stay, intensive care unit (ICU) stay, organ failure (OF), evidence of infection, need for intervention, and mortality. Results The study included 60 COPD patients, with a majority being male (40, 66.7%) and a mean age of 65.4 ± 8.6 years. Based on CTSI, severity was classified as mild in 25 (41.7%), moderate in 20 (33.3%), and severe in 15 (25.0%) cases. According to MCTSI, severity was classified as mild in 22 (36.7%), moderate in 15 (25.0%), and severe in 23 (38.3%) cases. MCTSI showed concordance with the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) classification in 54 (90.0%) cases, while CTSI was concordant in 47 (78.3%) cases. For predicting moderate to severe COPD, CTSI demonstrated a sensitivity of 91.4%, specificity of 96.0%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 97.1%, and overall accuracy of 98.3%. MCTSI showed a sensitivity of 94.4%, specificity of 92.0%, PPV of 94.4%, and accuracy of 96.7%. Both indices correlated significantly with clinical outcomes, including OF, need for intervention, infection, and mortality (p < 0.001), although no significant correlation was found with ICU stay. Conclusion Both CTSI and MCTSI demonstrated a strong correlation with clinical outcomes in COPD patients and showed good concordance with severity assessments. MCTSI exhibited higher sensitivity, while CTSI demonstrated greater specificity for differentiating mild from moderate/severe COPD cases. These indices can be valuable tools in guiding clinical decision-making and assessing disease severity in COPD.
目的 本研究的目的是使用计算机断层扫描严重指数(CTSI)和改良CTSI(MCTSI)评估慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)的严重程度,并评估它们与临床结局指标的相关性。此外,该研究旨在根据患者结局比较这些指数在预测中重度COPD方面的诊断性能。
材料和方法 在这项于2023年11月至2024年3月进行的前瞻性研究中,两名对临床结局不知情的放射科医生独立评估CTSI和MCTSI。评估的临床结局包括住院时间、重症监护病房(ICU)住院时间、器官衰竭(OF)、感染证据、干预需求和死亡率。
结果 该研究纳入了60例COPD患者,其中大多数为男性(40例,66.7%),平均年龄为65.4±8.6岁。根据CTSI,25例(41.7%)病情严重程度为轻度,20例(33.3%)为中度,15例(25.0%)为重度。根据MCTSI,22例(36.7%)病情严重程度为轻度,15例(25.0%)为中度,23例(38.3%)为重度。MCTSI与慢性阻塞性肺疾病全球倡议(GOLD)分类的一致性为54例(90.0%),而CTSI的一致性为47例(78.3%)。对于预测中重度COPD,CTSI的敏感性为91.4%,特异性为96.0%,阳性预测值(PPV)为97.1%,总体准确率为98.3%。MCTSI的敏感性为94.4%,特异性为92.0%,PPV为94.4%,准确率为96.7%。两个指数均与包括OF、干预需求、感染和死亡率在内的临床结局显著相关(p<0.001),尽管未发现与ICU住院时间有显著相关性。
结论 CTSI和MCTSI均显示与COPD患者的临床结局密切相关,并且与严重程度评估具有良好的一致性。MCTSI表现出更高的敏感性,而CTSI在区分轻度与中度/重度COPD病例方面具有更高的特异性。这些指数可以成为指导临床决策和评估COPD疾病严重程度的有价值工具。