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假定的可穿戴驱蚊技术预防蚊虫叮咬和伊蚊传播疾病的效果及其经济影响。

The effectiveness of putative wearable repellent technologies to protect against mosquito biting and Aedes-borne diseases, and their economic impact.

作者信息

Jones Robert T, Tytheridge Scott J, Vegvari Carolin, Meredith Hannah R, Pretorius Elizabeth A, Ant Thomas H, Logan James G

机构信息

Department of Disease Control, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.

The Ear Institute, University College London, London, United Kingdom.

出版信息

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2024 Dec 18;18(12):e0012621. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0012621. eCollection 2024 Dec.

Abstract

Viruses transmitted by mosquitoes threaten the health of millions of people worldwide. There is an urgent need for new tools for personal protection to ensure that vulnerable individuals are protected from infectious bites when outdoors. Here, we test the efficacy of wash-in and spray-on repellents against Aedes aegypti. When applied as a treatment on clothing as well as skin, the novel repellent compound delta-undecalactone provided up to 100% protection initially, and over 50% bite prevention for more than 7 hours. Mathematical modelling indicated that if such a repellent, with 100% initial efficacy, were to be applied twice daily by 80% of the population, more than 30% of Zika virus infections could be averted in an outbreak scenario with a basic reproduction number R0 = 2.2. In a less severe outbreak (R0 = 1.6), the same repellent regimen could avert 96% of infections. If there was much lower uptake, with only 40% of people using the repellent twice per day, just 4% of Zika cases would be averted (outbreak R0 = 2.2). Similar results were found in other scenarios tested for dengue and chikungunya outbreaks. Our model can be extrapolated to other repellents and guide future product development, and provides support to the concept that effective repellents that are used regularly and appropriately could be cost-effective interventions to prevent ill health from arboviral diseases.

摘要

蚊子传播的病毒威胁着全球数百万人的健康。迫切需要新的个人防护工具,以确保易感染人群在户外时免受传染性叮咬。在此,我们测试了涂抹型和喷雾型驱蚊剂对埃及伊蚊的功效。当作为一种处理方法应用于衣物和皮肤时,新型驱蚊化合物δ-十一内酯最初能提供高达100%的防护,并且在超过7小时的时间里能防止超过50%的叮咬。数学模型表明,如果这样一种初始功效为100%的驱蚊剂,80%的人群每天使用两次,在基本再生数R0 = 2.2的疫情暴发情况下,超过30%的寨卡病毒感染可以避免。在不太严重的疫情(R0 = 1.6)中,相同的驱蚊方案可以避免96%的感染。如果使用率低得多,只有40%的人每天使用驱蚊剂两次,那么在疫情暴发(R0 = 2.2)时,只能避免4%的寨卡病例。在针对登革热和基孔肯雅热疫情测试的其他情况下也发现了类似结果。我们的模型可以推广到其他驱蚊剂,并指导未来的产品开发,为定期且适当地使用有效驱蚊剂可能是预防虫媒病毒疾病导致健康不良的具有成本效益的干预措施这一概念提供了支持。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4714/11694967/48419d1261b5/pntd.0012621.g001.jpg

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