Mutz Julian, Iniesta Raquel, Lewis Cathryn M
Department of Biostatistics and Health Informatics, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, United Kingdom.
Sci Adv. 2024 Dec 20;10(51):eadp3743. doi: 10.1126/sciadv.adp3743. Epub 2024 Dec 18.
Biological aging clocks produce age estimates that can track with age-related health outcomes. This study aimed to benchmark machine learning algorithms, including regularized regression, kernel-based methods, and ensembles, for developing metabolomic aging clocks from nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy data. The UK Biobank data, including 168 plasma metabolites from up to = 225,212 middle-aged and older adults (mean age, 56.97 years), were used to train and internally validate 17 algorithms. Metabolomic age (MileAge) delta, the difference between metabolite-predicted and chronological age, from a Cubist rule-based regression model showed the strongest associations with health and aging markers. Individuals with an older MileAge were frailer, had shorter telomeres, were more likely to suffer from chronic illness, rated their health worse, and had a higher all-cause mortality hazard (HR = 1.51; 95% CI, 1.43 to 1.59; < 0.001). This metabolomic aging clock (MileAge) can be applied in research and may find use in health assessments, risk stratification, and proactive health tracking.
生物衰老时钟所产生的年龄估计值能够与年龄相关的健康结果保持一致。本研究旨在对机器学习算法进行基准测试,包括正则化回归、基于核的方法和集成方法,以便从核磁共振波谱数据中开发代谢组学衰老时钟。英国生物银行的数据,包括来自多达225,212名中老年人(平均年龄56.97岁)的168种血浆代谢物,被用于训练和内部验证17种算法。基于Cubist规则的回归模型得出的代谢组学年龄(MileAge)差值,即代谢物预测年龄与实际年龄之间的差异,与健康和衰老标志物的关联最为紧密。MileAge较大的个体身体更虚弱,端粒更短,更易患慢性病,对自身健康的评价更低,全因死亡风险更高(风险比=1.51;95%置信区间为1.43至1.59;P<0.001)。这种代谢组学衰老时钟(MileAge)可应用于研究,可能在健康评估、风险分层和主动健康跟踪中发挥作用。