Giannouli Vaitsa, Kampakis Stylianos
Hellenic Open University, Patras, Greece.
London Business School, London, UK.
J Neuropsychol. 2024 Dec 18. doi: 10.1111/jnp.12409.
Predicting the diagnosis of an older adult solely based on their financial capacity performance or other neuropsychological test performance is still an open question. The aim of this study is to highlight which tests are of importance in diagnostic protocols by using recent advancements in machine learning.
For this reason, a neuropsychological battery was administered in 543 older Greek patients already diagnosed with different types of neurocognitive disorders along with a test specifically measuring financial capacity, that is, Legal Capacity for Property Law Transactions Assessment Scale (LCPLTAS). The battery was analysed using a random forest algorithm. The objective was to predict whether an older person suffers from dementia. The algorithm's performance was tested through cross-validation.
Machine learning was applied for the first time in data analysis regarding financial capacity and three factors-tests were revealed as the best predictors: two subscales from the LCPLTAS measuring 'financial decision making' and 'cash transactions', and the widely used MMSE which measures general cognition. The algorithm demonstrated good performance as measured by the F1-score, which is a measure of the harmonic mean of precision and recall. This evaluation metric in binary and multi-class classification integrates precision and recall into a single metric to gain a better understanding of model performance.
These findings reveal the importance of focusing on these scales and tests in neuropsychological assessment protocols. Future research may clarify in other cultural settings if the same variables are of importance.
仅根据老年人的财务能力表现或其他神经心理测试表现来预测其诊断仍然是一个悬而未决的问题。本研究的目的是利用机器学习的最新进展,突出哪些测试在诊断方案中具有重要性。
因此,对543名已被诊断患有不同类型神经认知障碍的希腊老年患者进行了一套神经心理测试,以及一项专门测量财务能力的测试,即《财产法交易法律能力评估量表》(LCPLTAS)。使用随机森林算法对该套测试进行分析。目的是预测老年人是否患有痴呆症。通过交叉验证对算法的性能进行测试。
机器学习首次应用于有关财务能力的数据分析,结果显示有三个因素测试是最佳预测指标:LCPLTAS中测量“财务决策”和“现金交易”的两个子量表,以及广泛使用的测量一般认知能力的简易精神状态检查表(MMSE)。以F1分数衡量,该算法表现良好,F1分数是精确率和召回率的调和平均数。在二分类和多分类分类中,这个评估指标将精确率和召回率整合为一个单一指标,以便更好地理解模型性能。
这些发现揭示了在神经心理评估方案中关注这些量表和测试的重要性。未来的研究可以阐明在其他文化背景下这些相同的变量是否重要。