Zhao Xiuling, Zhou Weiqi, Hong Mu, Neophytou Andreas M
State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; Environmental and Radiological Health Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.
State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; Beijing Urban Ecosystem Research Station, Beijing, China.
Environ Res. 2025 Feb 15;267:120661. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2024.120661. Epub 2024 Dec 19.
Prolonged exposure to fine particulate matter (PM) is associated with harmful impacts on human health and population growth in urban areas has exacerbated this exposure. In this study, we compare the exposure between cities at a national level and between different regions within cities considering the population in situ. We estimate the impacts of pollution and population on exposure by spatial and time series analysis from 2000 to 2018 based on 1-km grid data. Our results show that the exposure significantly increases with an increase in city size but is not necessarily related to higher PM concentrations. Notably, nonurban areas within most prefecture cities have a higher exposure than urban areas. The exposure follows an inverted U-shaped pattern over time across all cities, which are at varying stages within this trend. Nationally, it grows by 0.9 billion person-levels/year during the increasing stage and reduces by 1.0 billion person-levels/year during the decreasing stage. For urban areas, population growth is the dominant factor that determines the exposure during the increasing phase, while changes in air pollution dominate during the decreasing phase. In nonurban areas, however, the change in air pollution plays a more decisive role during both stages. Understanding the spatial distribution and the driving process of exposure provided directions for the country and each prefecture city to balance the benefits of air pollution control, mitigation costs, addressing disparities, and increasing national welfare.
长期暴露于细颗粒物(PM)与对人类健康的有害影响相关,而城市地区的人口增长加剧了这种暴露。在本研究中,我们考虑原地人口,在国家层面比较不同城市之间以及城市内不同区域之间的暴露情况。我们基于1公里网格数据,通过2000年至2018年的空间和时间序列分析,估算污染和人口对暴露的影响。我们的结果表明,暴露随着城市规模的增加而显著增加,但不一定与更高的PM浓度相关。值得注意的是,大多数地级市的非城市地区比城市地区有更高的暴露。在所有城市中,暴露随时间呈倒U形模式,这些城市处于该趋势的不同阶段。在全国范围内,在增长阶段每年增加0.9亿人·次,在下降阶段每年减少1.0亿人·次。对于城市地区,人口增长是增长阶段决定暴露的主导因素,而在下降阶段空气污染的变化起主导作用。然而,在非城市地区,空气污染的变化在两个阶段都起着更决定性的作用。了解暴露的空间分布和驱动过程,为国家和每个地级市平衡空气污染控制的效益、缓解成本、解决差距以及提高国家福利提供了方向。