Emeno Karla, Pullman Mari, Bennell Craig
Faculty of Social Science and Humanities, Ontario Tech University, Oshawa, Ontario, Canada.
Department of Psychology, Carleton University, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Int Crim Justice Rev. 2025 Mar;35(1):29-42. doi: 10.1177/10575677241276858. Epub 2024 Sep 15.
Research suggests that previously burglarized targets, and targets located near such locations, are at an increased risk of being victimized. However, this elevated risk is only temporary and appears to subside over time. The boost account is one theory that attempts to describe the occurrence of repeat, and near repeat, burglaries. The boost account suggests that these burglaries are the result of the same offender returning to burglarize a dwelling that they have successfully burglarized in the past, or one near the previously victimized target. In the current study, we first determined the repeat and near repeat space-time clustering of solved residential burglaries committed in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, from 2007 to 2008. The results indicate that solved Edmonton burglaries do cluster together in time and space (i.e., residences within 700 m of a previous burgled target are at an increased risk for a period of 7 days). We also investigated whether repeat and near repeat burglaries in the dataset were more likely than distant burglaries to be committed by the same offender. It was found that serial offending by the same offender offers a viable rationale for much of the repeat and near repeat burglaries committed in Edmonton from 2007 to 2008. The practical implications of these results, as well as some limitations and directions for future research, are discussed.
研究表明，之前遭受过入室盗窃的目标，以及位于此类地点附近的目标，再次成为受害者的风险会增加。然而，这种升高的风险只是暂时的，并且似乎会随着时间的推移而消退。“助推账户”理论是一种试图描述重复盗窃和接近重复盗窃发生情况的理论。该理论认为，这些盗窃是同一犯罪者返回他们过去成功实施过盗窃的住所，或者是在之前受害者目标附近的住所进行盗窃的结果。在当前的研究中，我们首先确定了2007年至2008年在加拿大艾伯塔省埃德蒙顿发生的已破案住宅盗窃案的重复和接近重复的时空聚类情况。结果表明，埃德蒙顿已破案的盗窃案确实在时间和空间上聚集在一起（即，在之前被盗目标700米范围内的住宅在7天内面临更高的风险）。我们还调查了数据集中的重复和接近重复盗窃案是否比远距离盗窃案更有可能由同一犯罪者实施。结果发现，同一犯罪者的系列犯罪行为为2007年至2008年在埃德蒙顿发生的大部分重复和接近重复盗窃案提供了一个合理的解释。本文讨论了这些结果的实际意义，以及一些局限性和未来研究的方向。
