Hristov Alexander N, Solomon Susan
Department of Animal Science, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802.
Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139.
J Dairy Sci. 2025 Jan;108(1):1-5. doi: 10.3168/jds.2024-25568.
In a hydrogen-based economy future, hydrogen leakage is becoming an environmental concern. Ruminants naturally produce small amounts of hydrogen, which is emitted in the environment along with other fermentation gases, such as the GHG methane and carbon dioxide. Here, for the first time, we estimated hydrogen emissions from the global ruminant livestock at 527 kt/yr (95% CI: 399, 654), or about 3.5% (95% CI; 2.7, 4.4) of the global anthropogenic hydrogen emissions. When methanogenesis is decreased by various methane-mitigation practices, hydrogen emissions increase, raising questions regarding net environmental impacts because hydrogen is an indirect greenhouse gas. Therefore, we estimated the potential contribution of hydrogen from ruminant livestock under 3 enteric methane reduction scenarios. At the highest methane reduction (75%) scenario, the percentage increase in global ruminant hydrogen emissions over baseline emissions (as kilotons per year) due to the reduction in enteric methanogenesis was 5.95% (95% CI: 4.52, 7.39) and yielded a 0.48% (95% CI: 0.37, 0.60) increase in CO-equivalents (CO-eq), when the benefit of reduced methane was accounted for. Our study suggests that the net climate benefit of reduced methane emissions from ruminants is decreased by less than 1%, when expected increases in hydrogen emissions are considered as an offset to the CO-eq emissions avoided.
在以氢为基础的经济未来中,氢气泄漏正成为一个环境问题。反刍动物自然会产生少量氢气,这些氢气会与其他发酵气体(如温室气体甲烷和二氧化碳)一起排放到环境中。在此,我们首次估计全球反刍动物的氢气排放量为每年527千吨(95%置信区间:399, 654),约占全球人为氢气排放量的3.5%(95%置信区间:2.7, 4.4)。当通过各种甲烷减排措施减少甲烷生成时,氢气排放量会增加,这引发了关于净环境影响的问题,因为氢气是一种间接温室气体。因此,我们估计了在3种肠道甲烷减排情景下反刍动物产生的氢气的潜在贡献。在最高的甲烷减排(75%)情景下,由于肠道甲烷生成减少,全球反刍动物氢气排放量相对于基线排放量(以每年千吨计)的百分比增加为5.95%(95%置信区间:4.52, 7.39),在考虑减少甲烷的益处时,二氧化碳当量(CO-eq)增加了0.48%(95%置信区间:0.37, 0.60)。我们的研究表明,当将预期的氢气排放量增加视为对避免的CO-eq排放量的抵消时,反刍动物甲烷排放量减少带来的净气候效益降低不到1%。