Zou Huimin, Lai Yunfeng, Chen Xianwen, Ung Carolina Oi Lam, Hu Hao
State Key Laboratory of Quality Research in Chinese Medicine, Institute of Chinese Medical Sciences, University of Macau, Taipa, Macao.
School of Public Health and Management, Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China.
Therap Adv Gastroenterol. 2025 Jan 2;18:17562848241310314. doi: 10.1177/17562848241310314. eCollection 2025.
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third leading cause of cancer-related mortality globally. Recent advancements in targeted therapies have improved outcomes for advanced HCC, yet therapeutic options remain limited. The CARES-310 trial demonstrated that camrelizumab plus rivoceranib significantly improves survival compared to sorafenib for advanced HCC.
This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of camrelizumab plus rivoceranib as a first-line treatment for unresectable HCC from the Chinese health system perspective.
The cost-effectiveness analysis.
A partitioned survival model was constructed to estimate clinical and economic outcomes for patients with unresectable or metastatic HCC. The model included three health states: progression-free, progression disease, and death. The hypothetical cohort consisted of patients aged ⩾18 with HCC who had not received systemic therapy, reflecting the CARES-310 trial. Clinical data were derived from the CARES-310 trial and extrapolated using standard parameter distributions. Direct medical costs and utilities were sourced from the CARES-310 trial and published literature.
The 10-year cost of camrelizumab plus rivoceranib was higher than sorafenib (USD 28,148.01 vs USD 20,997.86). Camrelizumab plus rivoceranib yielded an additional 0.26 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) with an incremental cost of USD 7150.15, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of USD 27,633.75/QALY. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the base-case results.
Camrelizumab plus rivoceranib is likely a cost-effective first-line treatment for unresectable HCC from a Chinese health system perspective. This study highlights the need for additional real-world data to validate these findings and guide clinical decision-making for HCC.
肝细胞癌(HCC)是全球癌症相关死亡的第三大主要原因。靶向治疗的最新进展改善了晚期HCC的治疗效果,但治疗选择仍然有限。CARES - 310试验表明,与索拉非尼相比,卡瑞利珠单抗联合瑞戈非尼可显著提高晚期HCC患者的生存率。
本研究旨在从中国卫生系统的角度评估卡瑞利珠单抗联合瑞戈非尼作为不可切除HCC一线治疗的成本效益。
成本效益分析。
构建一个分区生存模型,以估计不可切除或转移性HCC患者的临床和经济结局。该模型包括三个健康状态:无进展、疾病进展和死亡。假设队列由年龄≥18岁、未接受过全身治疗的HCC患者组成,反映了CARES - 310试验。临床数据来自CARES - 310试验,并使用标准参数分布进行外推。直接医疗成本和效用来自CARES - 310试验和已发表的文献。
卡瑞利珠单抗联合瑞戈非尼的10年成本高于索拉非尼(28,148.01美元对20,997.86美元)。卡瑞利珠单抗联合瑞戈非尼可额外产生0.26个质量调整生命年(QALYs),增量成本为7150.15美元,增量成本效益比为27,633.75美元/QALY。敏感性分析证实了基础病例结果的稳健性。
从中国卫生系统的角度来看,卡瑞利珠单抗联合瑞戈非尼可能是不可切除HCC具有成本效益的一线治疗方法。本研究强调需要更多真实世界的数据来验证这些发现,并指导HCC的临床决策。