Mons Ute, Lohner Valerie, Seuthe Katharina
Department of Cardiology, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
Eur J Public Health. 2025 Jun 1;35(3):573-575. doi: 10.1093/eurpub/ckae215.
We quantified the fraction of cardiovascular deaths attributable to smoking in Germany over time, accounting for population ageing. We calculated population-attributable fractions to quantify cardiovascular deaths attributable to smoking for 1992 to 2021, and compared actual with age-standardized figures. We found a significant decline in the number of cardiovascular deaths attributable to smoking: from about 71 900 cases in 1992 to around 42 000 cases in 2021, with a steeper decline in men. Age-standardized figures suggest that population ageing partially offset this trend. Forward projections indicate increasing trends over the next decade. The results highlight the need for targeted smoking cessation programmes.
我们对德国因吸烟导致的心血管死亡比例随时间的变化进行了量化，并考虑了人口老龄化因素。我们计算了人群归因分数，以量化1992年至2021年因吸烟导致的心血管死亡人数，并将实际数字与年龄标准化数字进行了比较。我们发现，因吸烟导致的心血管死亡人数显著下降：从1992年的约71900例降至2021年的约42000例，男性下降幅度更大。年龄标准化数字表明，人口老龄化部分抵消了这一趋势。前瞻性预测表明，在未来十年中这一趋势将呈上升态势。研究结果凸显了实施有针对性的戒烟计划的必要性。
