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加拿大爱德华王子岛长期每小时海平面数据的重建。

Reconstruction of long-term hourly sea level data for Prince Edward Island, Canada.

作者信息

Pang Tianze, Wang Xiuquan, Mahmood Muhammad Qasim, Basheer Sana

机构信息

Canadian Centre for Climate Change and Adaptation, University of Prince Edward Island, St. Peters Bay, Prince Edward Island, C0A 2A0, Canada.

School of Climate Change and Adaptation, University of Prince Edward Island, Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island, C1A 4P3, Canada.

出版信息

Sci Data. 2025 Jan 6;12(1):17. doi: 10.1038/s41597-025-04378-1.

DOI:10.1038/s41597-025-04378-1
PMID:39762291
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11704149/
Abstract

Regional sea level rise has been regarded a key factor in understanding of climate change impact to coastal communities. As a vulnerable island to sea level rise and storm surges, the province of Prince Edward Island (PEI) in Canada lacks sufficient long-term island-wide historic record of sea level data. This has become a major challenge for further studies on coastal environments and climate change adaptation. To overcome this limitation, here we reconstruct a long-term hourly sea level dataset using the existing long-term records of limited permanent tide stations and short-term records of widely-distributed temporary stations. With comprehensive statistical analysis and modeling, the historical sea level records furthest between 1911 and 2023 are reconstructed with an hourly time step. This new dataset significantly extends the availability of long-term sea level data along with the shoreline of PEI, which can be used for further studies on coastal change assessment and coastal hazard adaptation in the context of climate change.

摘要

区域海平面上升被视为理解气候变化对沿海社区影响的关键因素。作为一个易受海平面上升和风暴潮影响的岛屿,加拿大爱德华王子岛省(PEI)缺乏全岛范围内足够的长期海平面历史数据记录。这已成为进一步开展沿海环境和气候变化适应研究的重大挑战。为克服这一限制,我们利用现有有限的永久潮汐站长期记录和广泛分布的临时站点短期记录,重建了一个长期每小时海平面数据集。通过全面的统计分析和建模,以每小时为时间步长重建了1911年至2023年期间最远的历史海平面记录。这个新数据集显著扩展了PEI海岸线沿线长期海平面数据的可获取性,可用于在气候变化背景下进一步开展沿海变化评估和沿海灾害适应研究。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4454/11704149/7f51ba688c51/41597_2025_4378_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4454/11704149/f32441bed523/41597_2025_4378_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4454/11704149/4383c5be292d/41597_2025_4378_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4454/11704149/13b41ba65964/41597_2025_4378_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4454/11704149/0f4f3a655e92/41597_2025_4378_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4454/11704149/7f51ba688c51/41597_2025_4378_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4454/11704149/f32441bed523/41597_2025_4378_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4454/11704149/4383c5be292d/41597_2025_4378_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4454/11704149/13b41ba65964/41597_2025_4378_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4454/11704149/0f4f3a655e92/41597_2025_4378_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4454/11704149/7f51ba688c51/41597_2025_4378_Fig5_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Sci Total Environ. 2024 Jul 1;932:173099. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173099. Epub 2024 May 8.
2
Coastal evolution and future projections in Conde County, Brazil: A multi-decadal assessment via remote sensing and sea-level rise scenarios.巴西康德县的海岸演变与未来预测:通过遥感和海平面上升情景进行的数十年评估。
Sci Total Environ. 2024 Mar 10;915:169829. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169829. Epub 2024 Jan 10.
3
Assessing Future Climate Change Impacts on Potato Yields - A Case Study for Prince Edward Island, Canada.
评估未来气候变化对马铃薯产量的影响——以加拿大爱德华王子岛为例
Foods. 2023 Mar 10;12(6):1176. doi: 10.3390/foods12061176.
4
Digitising historical sea level records in the Thames Estuary, UK.英国泰晤士河口历史海平面记录的数字化。
Sci Data. 2022 Apr 12;9(1):167. doi: 10.1038/s41597-022-01223-7.
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Sea-level rise exponentially increases coastal flood frequency.海平面上升使沿海洪灾发生频率呈指数级增长。
Sci Rep. 2020 Apr 16;10(1):6466. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-62188-4.
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Doubling of coastal flooding frequency within decades due to sea-level rise.由于海平面上升,沿海洪水频率在几十年内将翻倍。
Sci Rep. 2017 May 18;7(1):1399. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-01362-7.
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Coastal sea level rise with warming above 2 °C.随着气温上升超过2摄氏度,沿海海平面上升。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 Nov 22;113(47):13342-13347. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1605312113. Epub 2016 Nov 7.
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Future coastal population growth and exposure to sea-level rise and coastal flooding--a global assessment.未来沿海地区人口增长以及海平面上升和沿海洪灾风险——一项全球评估。
PLoS One. 2015 Mar 11;10(3):e0118571. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0118571. eCollection 2015.