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气候变化与人口的计划迁移:对斐济武尼多戈洛阿的纵向分析

Climate change and the planned relocation of people: A longitudinal analysis of Vunidogoloa, Fiji.

作者信息

McMichael Celia, Powell Teresia, Piggott-McKellar Annah E, Yee Merewalesi

机构信息

School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia.

School of Architecture and Built Environment, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia.

出版信息

Ambio. 2025 Jun;54(6):1043-1056. doi: 10.1007/s13280-024-02120-6. Epub 2025 Jan 8.

Abstract

Rising sea levels under a changing climate will cause permanent inundation, flooding, coastal erosion, and saltwater intrusion. An emerging adaptation response is planned relocation, a directed process of relocating people, assets, and infrastructure to safer locations. Climate-related planned relocation is an unfolding process, yet no longitudinal studies have examined outcomes over time. Vunidogoloa, a low-lying coastal village in Fiji, relocated to higher land in 2014. This paper considers the dynamic outcomes of relocation, based on qualitative data collected between 2015 and 2023. It examines: residents' changing experience of climate and environmental risk; governance and decision-making processes over time; improved access to many resources and services along with incomplete infrastructure; opportunities and threats to health; and changing social organization and place-based values. The paper foregrounds change over time and provides in-depth examination of dynamic planned relocation experiences and (mal)adaptation outcomes in Vunidogoloa, Fiji.

摘要

气候变化导致海平面上升,将造成永久性淹没、洪水、海岸侵蚀和海水入侵。一种新出现的适应措施是有计划的搬迁,即将人员、资产和基础设施定向转移到更安全的地点。与气候相关的有计划搬迁是一个不断发展的过程,但尚无纵向研究考察其长期结果。斐济的一个低洼沿海村庄武尼多戈洛阿于2014年搬迁到了地势较高的地方。本文基于2015年至2023年期间收集的定性数据,探讨了搬迁的动态结果。研究内容包括:居民对气候和环境风险的不断变化的体验;随着时间推移的治理和决策过程;获得更多资源和服务的同时基础设施仍不完善的情况;对健康的机遇和威胁;以及社会组织和基于地点的价值观的变化。本文突出了随时间的变化,深入考察了斐济武尼多戈洛阿有计划的动态搬迁经历和(不)适应结果。

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