Batistella Patrícia, Marca Luan, Vasconcellos Fernanda Castilhos França de, Sanguinet Eduardo Rodrigues, Alvim Augusto Mussi, Fochezatto Adelar
School of Business, Pontifical Catholic University of Rio Grande do Sul (PUCRS), Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil.
Program in Rural Development (PGDR), Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS), Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil.
PLoS One. 2025 Jan 9;20(1):e0316489. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0316489. eCollection 2025.
The impact of COVID-19 has extended beyond the health toll it has taken on populations. The global economy has experienced significant downturns, with unemployment rates reaching unprecedented highs for this century. Nonetheless, the agricultural sector has been uniquely affected by the pandemic, particularly given its crucial role in food supply. This study sought to examine the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on agricultural employment in Brazilian municipalities. To achieve this, we employed a dataset spanning the period before and during the pandemic (2018-2021). Spatial econometrics was utilized to identify potential spatial factors linked to this occurrence. Notably, the findings reveal that the transfer policies implemented by the Brazilian Federal Government have had a positive impact on agricultural employment in Brazilian municipalities, challenging the common assumption that such measures might discourage job-seeking efforts. Moreover, the results suggest that the agricultural sector has managed to absorb individuals displaced from other sectors of the economy, demonstrating remarkable resilience in the face of economic challenges.
新冠疫情的影响已超出其给民众健康造成的损害。全球经济经历了严重衰退，失业率达到本世纪前所未有的高位。尽管如此，农业部门受到了疫情的独特影响，特别是考虑到其在粮食供应中的关键作用。本研究旨在考察新冠疫情对巴西各市农业就业的影响。为实现这一目标，我们使用了一个涵盖疫情之前和期间（2018 - 2021年）的数据集。运用空间计量经济学来识别与此现象相关的潜在空间因素。值得注意的是，研究结果表明，巴西联邦政府实施的转移政策对巴西各市的农业就业产生了积极影响，这挑战了一种普遍的假设，即此类措施可能会阻碍求职努力。此外，结果表明，农业部门成功吸纳了从其他经济部门流离出来的人员，在面对经济挑战时展现出了显著的韧性。
