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揭示HRR对入住ICU的慢性阻塞性肺疾病患者的预后预测能力:一项基于MIMIC-IV数据库的研究

Unveiling the Prognostic Power of HRR in ICU-Admitted COPD Patients: A MIMIC-IV Database Study.

作者信息

Wang Yuan, Chen Dan, Zhang Chunlu, Yang Haiying

机构信息

Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, The Second People's Hospital of Meishan City, Meishan, Sichuan, 620500, People's Republic of China.

Department of Respiratory Medicine, Yunchang Hospital, Meishan, Sichuan, 620500, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis. 2025 Jan 6;20:11-21. doi: 10.2147/COPD.S482344. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This study sought to examine the potential relationship between Hemoglobin/Red Cell Distribution Width Ratio (HRR) and the all-cause mortality risk in critically ill patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In a retrospective analysis of the MIMIC-IV database, patients were divided into two groups based on a specific HRR threshold. Propensity score matching (PSM) was employed to address covariate imbalances. Logistic regression models was used to examine the association between HRR and mortality. A restricted cubic spline (RCS) model was employed to visualize the association between HRR and mortality. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves were utilized to assess the predictive capability of HRR, and Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) was conducted for clinical evaluation. Furthermore, subgroup analyses were performed to explore potential variations within specific cohorts.

RESULTS

A comprehensive analysis identified a total of 1,061 patients. The threshold value established for HRR is 5.395 g/L/%. Following the application of PSM, the matched cohort comprised 544 patients. Both the original and matched cohorts exhibited higher rates of all-cause mortality and extended hospital stays among individuals with low HRRs. Logistic regression analyses demonstrated that HRR is an independent risk factor of mortality. The RCS analysis demonstrated a significant linear relationship between HRR and mortality. The ROC curves yielded values of 0.58 for the original cohort and 0.60 for the matched cohort. DCA analysis indicated that HRR is clinically valuable. Subgroup analyses further validated the robustness of these core findings.

CONCLUSION

A lower HRR is positively associated with all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with COPD.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在探讨血红蛋白/红细胞分布宽度比值(HRR)与慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)重症患者全因死亡风险之间的潜在关系。

患者与方法

在对MIMIC-IV数据库的回顾性分析中,根据特定的HRR阈值将患者分为两组。采用倾向评分匹配(PSM)来解决协变量不平衡问题。使用逻辑回归模型来检验HRR与死亡率之间的关联。采用受限立方样条(RCS)模型来直观显示HRR与死亡率之间的关联。利用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估HRR的预测能力,并进行决策曲线分析(DCA)以进行临床评估。此外,进行亚组分析以探索特定队列中的潜在差异。

结果

综合分析共纳入1061例患者。确定的HRR阈值为5.395 g/L/%。应用PSM后,匹配队列包括544例患者。在HRR较低的个体中,原始队列和匹配队列的全因死亡率和住院时间延长率均较高。逻辑回归分析表明,HRR是死亡率的独立危险因素。RCS分析显示HRR与死亡率之间存在显著的线性关系。原始队列的ROC曲线值为0.58,匹配队列的ROC曲线值为0.60。DCA分析表明HRR具有临床价值。亚组分析进一步验证了这些核心发现的稳健性。

结论

较低的HRR与COPD重症患者的全因死亡率呈正相关。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8bf9/11721526/c6d4f7aef56e/COPD-20-11-g0001.jpg

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