Mohrmann Martin, C Biddle Louise, Rehder Gregor, Bittig Henry C, Queste Bastien Y
Voice of the Ocean Foundation, Skeppet Ärans Väg 19, Västra Frölunda, 426 71, Sweden.
Department of Marine Science, University of Gothenburg, Box 463, Göteborg, 405 30, Sweden.
Nat Commun. 2025 Jan 15;16(1):281. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-53779-0.
A suspected 443-486 kt of methane escaped from the Nord Stream pipelines in September 2022 at four explosion sites across three pipelines. Much of this methane rapidly escaped to the atmosphere, while an unknown amount was dissolved. We use sustained high-resolution observations of methane concentrations from autonomous gliders and an instrumented ship of opportunity to reveal the timing and spread of dissolved methane across different Baltic regions and marine protected areas. Estimates of methane spread and concentrations are essential to understand the ecosystem response, and for establishing accurate priors for atmospheric outgassing and transport models. A numerical model, initialized by engineering estimates and our observations, enables us to constrain the mass of locally dissolved Nord Stream methane (9.5-14.7 kt). We show that dissolved methane decreased rapidly through outgassing, however initial concentrations were so high that 14% of the Baltic Sea still experienced concentrations 5 times greater than average natural levels.
2022年9月,在穿越三条管道的四个爆炸点,诺德施特罗姆管道疑似泄漏了443 - 486千吨甲烷。其中大部分甲烷迅速逸散到大气中,而溶解的量未知。我们利用自主滑翔机和一艘临时配备仪器的船只对甲烷浓度进行持续的高分辨率观测,以揭示溶解甲烷在不同波罗的海区域和海洋保护区的扩散时间和范围。甲烷扩散和浓度的估计对于了解生态系统反应以及为大气逸出和传输模型建立准确的先验条件至关重要。一个由工程估计和我们的观测初始化的数值模型,使我们能够确定诺德施特罗姆管道在当地溶解的甲烷质量(9.5 - 14.7千吨)。我们表明,溶解的甲烷通过逸出迅速减少,然而初始浓度如此之高,以至于波罗的海仍有14%的区域经历的浓度比自然平均水平高5倍。