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1981年至2019年期间瑞士苏黎世胸膜间皮瘤的发病率、死亡率和生存率

Incidence, mortality and survival of pleural mesothelioma in Zurich between 1981 and 2019, Switzerland.

作者信息

Vinci Linda, Wanner Miriam, Karavasiloglou Nena, Dressel Holger, Barresi Fabio, Korol Dimitri, Rohrmann Sabine

机构信息

Cancer Registry of the Cantons of Zurich, Zug, Schaffhausen, and Schwyz, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.

Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute (EBPI), University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.

出版信息

J Thorac Dis. 2024 Dec 31;16(12):8240-8249. doi: 10.21037/jtd-24-766. Epub 2024 Dec 19.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Pleural mesothelioma is mainly caused by (occupational) asbestos exposure. Since 1990, the import and use of asbestos is prohibited in Switzerland. However, due to the long latency time between exposure and the development of disease, incidence in Switzerland was expected to further increase for years after the ban. The aim of the present study was to analyse incidence, mortality, and survival of patients diagnosed with malignant pleural mesothelioma in the canton of Zurich in Switzerland.

METHODS

Population-based cancer registry data and cause of death statistics of the canton of Zurich from 1981 to 2019 were used to calculate age-standardized incidence and mortality rates. Time trends were investigated with joinpoint regression and net survival was computed using the Pohar-Perme method.

RESULTS

In men, the incidence rate increased from 1981 to 2002 {annual percentage change (APC) 4.7 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.6 to 6.8]} and then decreased until 2019 [APC: -2.3 (95% CI: -4.2 to -0.3)], while in women it increased over the whole period [APC 6.2 (95% CI: -1.3 to 14.4)]. Mortality rates were stable in men and women. Three-year net survival was 9.7% (95% CI: 7.8% to 12.2%) for men and 22.1% (95% CI: 15.3% to 32.1%) for women. Men with stage I or II pleural mesothelioma had a net survival of 25.4% (95% CI: 17.2% to 37.5%) after three years whereas men with stage III or IV experienced a net survival of 7.4% (95% CI: 3.9% to 13.8%) after three years.

CONCLUSIONS

Malignant pleural mesothelioma incidence seems to have reached the peak in the canton of Zurich in men, but not yet in women. Mortality rates were stable in men and women, and net survival was poor for both sexes, particularly in men.

摘要

背景

胸膜间皮瘤主要由(职业性)接触石棉引起。自1990年以来,瑞士禁止进口和使用石棉。然而,由于接触石棉与疾病发生之间的潜伏期较长,预计在禁令实施后的数年里,瑞士胸膜间皮瘤的发病率仍将进一步上升。本研究的目的是分析瑞士苏黎世州诊断为恶性胸膜间皮瘤的患者的发病率、死亡率和生存率。

方法

利用1981年至2019年苏黎世州基于人群的癌症登记数据和死因统计数据,计算年龄标准化发病率和死亡率。采用连接点回归研究时间趋势,并使用波哈尔-珀梅方法计算净生存率。

结果

在男性中,发病率从1981年至2002年呈上升趋势{年百分比变化(APC)为4.7[95%置信区间(CI):2.6至6.8]},然后下降至2019年[APC:-2.3(95%CI:-4.2至-0.3)],而女性发病率在整个研究期间呈上升趋势[APC为6.2(95%CI:-1.3至14.4)]。男性和女性的死亡率均保持稳定。男性三年净生存率为9.7%(95%CI:7.8%至12.2%),女性为22.1%(95%CI:15.3%至32.1%)。I期或II期胸膜间皮瘤男性患者三年后的净生存率为25.4%(95%CI:17.2%至37.5%),而III期或IV期男性患者三年后的净生存率为7.4%(95%CI:3.9%至13.8%)。

结论

在苏黎世州,恶性胸膜间皮瘤发病率在男性中似乎已达峰值,但在女性中尚未达到。男性和女性的死亡率均保持稳定,两性的净生存率均较低,尤其是男性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2e57/11740026/87e53b78c745/jtd-16-12-8240-f1.jpg

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