Nip Janine, Stanley James, Zhang Jane, Waa Andrew, Ball Jude, Tautolo El-Shadan, Johnson Ellie, Agar Thomas K, Quah Anne Ck, Fong Geoffrey T, Edwards Richard
Research Fellow, Department of Public Health, University of Otago Wellington, Wellington.
Professor, Department of Public Health, University of Otago Wellington, Wellington.
N Z Med J. 2025 Jan 24;138(1608):40-83. doi: 10.26635/6965.6526.
In February 2024, the Aotearoa New Zealand Government repealed legislation to mandate very low nicotine cigarettes (VLNCs), greatly reduce the number of tobacco retailers and disallow sale of tobacco products to people born after 2008 (smokefree generation). We investigated acceptability and likely impacts of these measures among people who smoke or who recently (≤2 years) quit smoking.
We analysed data from 1,230 participants from Wave 3 (conducted in late 2020 and early 2021) and 615 participants from Wave 3.5 (conducted in June/July 2021) of the New Zealand arm of the International Tobacco Control (ITC) Policy Evaluation Project. Data were weighted to represent the national population of people who smoke and who recently quit smoking.
Support (excluding "Don't know" responses) was 82.7% (95% confidence interval 77.9, 86.6) for a smokefree generation, 75.0% (95% CI 71.4, 78.3) for mandated VLNCs and 35.2% (95% CI 31.7, 38.9) for retailer reduction. Support was mostly similar by ethnicity, gender, age and evidence of financial hardship, but was higher among people who had recently quit smoking. Around half of the participants who smoked anticipated quitting completely, switching to vaping or cutting down the amount they smoke if mandated VLNCs or substantial retailer reductions were introduced. If VLNCs were mandated, 19% of people who smoked stated they would carry on smoking like they do now and find a way to get the cigarettes or tobacco they want to smoke.
Support for and anticipated actions in response to the smokefree legislation measures call into question the Government's decision to repeal them.
2024年2月，新西兰政府废除了强制推行极低尼古丁香烟（VLNCs）、大幅减少烟草零售商数量以及禁止向2008年以后出生的人（无烟一代）销售烟草产品的立法。我们调查了这些措施在吸烟者或最近（≤2年）戒烟者中的可接受性和可能产生的影响。
我们分析了国际烟草控制（ITC）政策评估项目新西兰分支第3波（2020年末和2021年初进行）的1230名参与者以及第3.5波（2021年6月/7月进行）的615名参与者的数据。数据经过加权以代表全国吸烟和最近戒烟人群。
对无烟一代的支持率（不包括“不知道”的回答）为82.7%（95%置信区间77.9, 86.6），对强制推行极低尼古丁香烟的支持率为75.0%（95%置信区间71.4, 78.3），对减少零售商数量的支持率为35.2%（95%置信区间31.7, 38.9）。按种族、性别、年龄和经济困难证据划分，支持率大多相似，但在最近戒烟者中更高。大约一半吸烟的参与者预计，如果强制推行极低尼古丁香烟或大幅减少零售商数量，他们会完全戒烟、转而使用电子烟或减少吸烟量。如果强制推行极低尼古丁香烟，19%的吸烟者表示他们会像现在一样继续吸烟，并想办法获取他们想吸的香烟或烟草。
对无烟立法措施的支持以及预期的应对行动，让人质疑政府废除这些措施的决定。
