Roth C S, Bowyer B A, Berquist T H
Ann Emerg Med. 1985 Apr;14(4):311-5. doi: 10.1016/s0196-0644(85)80094-9.
Our study was designed to measure sensitivity, specificity, predictive value, and accuracy of the plain abdominal radiograph (PAR) for diagnosing ureteral calculi (UC) in our emergency department (ED), and to determine if obtaining this test in the ED provides clinically useful diagnostic information. Records of 206 adult patients (147 men, 59 women) who underwent emergency excretory urography as part of an ED evaluation for possible ureteral stones were reviewed. A retrospective scoring index was devised to estimate the clinical probability of a ureteral stone for each patient. All patients had a PAR shortly before the excretory urogram (EXU) was performed. Each PAR was separated from the corresponding EXU, and both were independently reviewed for radiographic evidence of ureterolithiasis. The results of the PAR and EXU interpretations were compared. There were 92 true-positive PARs (45%), 19 false positives (9%), and 39 true negatives (19%), yielding a sensitivity of 62% and a specificity of 67%. In patients with a high estimated clinical probability of a ureteral calculus, the PAR had a positive predictive value of 86% and a negative predictive value of 22%. In the remaining patients, the positive and negative predictive values of the PAR were 69% and 72%, respectively. Each patient's clinical index score was compared to his or her EXU results. For detecting UC, the sensitivity of our scoring index was 82%, and the specificity was 51%; the positive predictive value of the scoring index was 82%, and the negative predictive value was 52%.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)
我们的研究旨在测量腹部平片(PAR)在我院急诊科(ED)诊断输尿管结石(UC)的敏感性、特异性、预测值和准确性,并确定在急诊科进行此项检查是否能提供临床有用的诊断信息。回顾了206例成年患者(147例男性,59例女性)的记录,这些患者因可能的输尿管结石在急诊科评估时接受了急诊排泄性尿路造影。设计了一个回顾性评分指数来估计每位患者输尿管结石的临床概率。所有患者在进行排泄性尿路造影(EXU)前不久均进行了腹部平片检查。每次腹部平片与相应的排泄性尿路造影分开,二者均独立复查输尿管结石的影像学证据。比较腹部平片和排泄性尿路造影的解读结果。腹部平片有92例假阳性(45%)、19例假阴性(9%)和39例假阴性(19%),敏感性为62%,特异性为67%。在估计输尿管结石临床概率较高的患者中,腹部平片的阳性预测值为86%,阴性预测值为22%。在其余患者中,腹部平片的阳性和阴性预测值分别为69%和72%。将每位患者的临床指数评分与其排泄性尿路造影结果进行比较。对于检测输尿管结石,我们评分指数的敏感性为82%,特异性为51%;评分指数的阳性预测值为82%,阴性预测值为52%。(摘要截短至250字)