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1990年至2021年因蔬菜摄入量低的饮食导致的心血管疾病全球负担及未来趋势预测:一项基于人群的研究。

Global burden of cardiovascular diseases attributable to diet low in vegetables from 1990 to 2021 and forecasting the future trends: a population-based study.

作者信息

Mao Qingsong, Kong Yuzhe

机构信息

Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Surgery, Banan Hospital Affiliated of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.

Xiangya School of Medicine, Central South University, Changsha, China.

出版信息

Front Cardiovasc Med. 2025 Jan 15;11:1491869. doi: 10.3389/fcvm.2024.1491869. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

This investigation examines the worldwide impact of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) resulting from inadequate vegetable consumption, based on the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study data.

METHOD

The study assessed the global, regional, and national repercussions of low vegetable intake on CVD, with a focus on variations among different age and gender demographics. It further analyzed the correlation between disease burden and the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), and employed an ARIMA model to predict future trends in CVD associated with insufficient vegetable consumption up to 2050.

RESULT

In 2021, a diet lacking in vegetables was responsible for roughly 682,400 deaths and 16 million disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributed to CVD, indicating a declining pattern over recent year. Individuals aged 75 and older were predominantly affected. Future projections indicate an expected rise in CVD incidence in lower-middle SDI regions, with African nations potentially experiencing increased challenges related to low vegetable consumption by 2030 and 2050.

CONCLUSION

The findings underscore the critical necessity for preventive measures against CVD and emphasize the significance of improving dietary habits, particularly vegetable intake.

摘要

背景

本调查基于2021年全球疾病负担研究数据,探讨蔬菜摄入不足导致的心血管疾病(CVD)在全球范围内的影响。

方法

该研究评估了低蔬菜摄入量对心血管疾病的全球、区域和国家影响,重点关注不同年龄和性别群体之间的差异。进一步分析了疾病负担与社会人口指数(SDI)之间的相关性,并采用自回归整合移动平均模型(ARIMA)预测到2050年蔬菜摄入不足相关心血管疾病的未来趋势。

结果

2021年,蔬菜摄入不足的饮食模式导致约68.24万人死亡,以及1600万伤残调整生命年(DALY)归因于心血管疾病,近年来呈下降趋势。75岁及以上人群受影响最为严重。未来预测表明,中低收入SDI地区的心血管疾病发病率预计将上升,到2030年和2050年,非洲国家可能会因蔬菜摄入量低而面临更多挑战。

结论

研究结果强调了预防心血管疾病的关键必要性,并强调改善饮食习惯,特别是增加蔬菜摄入量的重要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d227/11774848/1dc82f52b4ab/fcvm-11-1491869-g001.jpg

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