Högberg Björn, Scarpa Simone, Petersen Solveig
Department of Social Work, Umeå University, Sweden.
Centre for Demographic and Ageing Research, Umeå University, Sweden.
SSM Popul Health. 2025 Jan 4;29:101748. doi: 10.1016/j.ssmph.2025.101748. eCollection 2025 Mar.
Growing educational disparities in mortality due to suicide, drug overdose, or alcohol-related liver disease - or "deaths of despair" (DoD) - have received increased attention in research and public debate. However, no study has investigated educational differences in despair-related mortality outside of North America. Thus, the aim this study was to investigate changes in the association between academic achievement in compulsory school and subsequent all-cause mortality (ACM) and DoD between 1990 and 2018 in Swedish youths.
Register data on all students graduating from compulsory school in Sweden between 1990 and 2010 were used (N = 2 252 938). Students were followed for a maximum of 8 years using discrete time proportional hazard models. Academic achievement was measured by grades at the end of compulsory school.
ACM declined for medium/high achieving but not for low-achieving youths, while DoD increased slightly for medium/high achieving and markedly for low-achieving youths, resulting in growing achievement-related disparities in both types of mortality. The trends were primarily driven by native-born youth and girls.
The trends in Swedish youths resemble the trends in the American working-age population, but partly contrasts with corresponding trends in other European countries. Future research should investigate if the underlying causes that have been emphasized in the American context - socio-economic transformations and a greater supply of drugs - have also contributed to the Swedish trends.
因自杀、药物过量或酒精性肝病导致的死亡率方面日益扩大的教育差距——即“绝望死亡”(DoD)——在研究和公众辩论中受到了更多关注。然而,尚无研究调查北美以外地区与绝望相关死亡率的教育差异。因此,本研究的目的是调查1990年至2018年瑞典青少年义务教育阶段学业成绩与随后的全因死亡率(ACM)和绝望死亡之间关联的变化。
使用了1990年至2010年瑞典所有义务教育毕业学生的登记数据(N = 2252938)。使用离散时间比例风险模型对学生进行了最长8年的随访。学业成绩通过义务教育结束时的成绩来衡量。
中等/高成就青少年的全因死亡率下降,而低成就青少年则未下降;中等/高成就青少年的绝望死亡略有增加,低成就青少年则显著增加,导致两种死亡率方面与成就相关的差距不断扩大。这些趋势主要由本土出生的青少年和女孩推动。
瑞典青少年的趋势与美国劳动年龄人口的趋势相似,但部分与其他欧洲国家的相应趋势形成对比。未来的研究应调查在美国背景下强调的潜在原因——社会经济转型和更多的毒品供应——是否也促成了瑞典的这些趋势。