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1990 - 2018年瑞典青少年全因死亡率及绝望致死方面的教育不平等趋势。

Trends in educational inequalities in all-course mortality and deaths of despair in Swedish youths 1990-2018.

作者信息

Högberg Björn, Scarpa Simone, Petersen Solveig

机构信息

Department of Social Work, Umeå University, Sweden.

Centre for Demographic and Ageing Research, Umeå University, Sweden.

出版信息

SSM Popul Health. 2025 Jan 4;29:101748. doi: 10.1016/j.ssmph.2025.101748. eCollection 2025 Mar.

Abstract

BAKGROUND

Growing educational disparities in mortality due to suicide, drug overdose, or alcohol-related liver disease - or "deaths of despair" (DoD) - have received increased attention in research and public debate. However, no study has investigated educational differences in despair-related mortality outside of North America. Thus, the aim this study was to investigate changes in the association between academic achievement in compulsory school and subsequent all-cause mortality (ACM) and DoD between 1990 and 2018 in Swedish youths.

DATA AND METHODS

Register data on all students graduating from compulsory school in Sweden between 1990 and 2010 were used (N = 2 252 938). Students were followed for a maximum of 8 years using discrete time proportional hazard models. Academic achievement was measured by grades at the end of compulsory school.

RESULTS

ACM declined for medium/high achieving but not for low-achieving youths, while DoD increased slightly for medium/high achieving and markedly for low-achieving youths, resulting in growing achievement-related disparities in both types of mortality. The trends were primarily driven by native-born youth and girls.

CONCLUSIONS

The trends in Swedish youths resemble the trends in the American working-age population, but partly contrasts with corresponding trends in other European countries. Future research should investigate if the underlying causes that have been emphasized in the American context - socio-economic transformations and a greater supply of drugs - have also contributed to the Swedish trends.

摘要

背景

因自杀、药物过量或酒精性肝病导致的死亡率方面日益扩大的教育差距——即“绝望死亡”(DoD)——在研究和公众辩论中受到了更多关注。然而,尚无研究调查北美以外地区与绝望相关死亡率的教育差异。因此,本研究的目的是调查1990年至2018年瑞典青少年义务教育阶段学业成绩与随后的全因死亡率(ACM)和绝望死亡之间关联的变化。

数据与方法

使用了1990年至2010年瑞典所有义务教育毕业学生的登记数据(N = 2252938)。使用离散时间比例风险模型对学生进行了最长8年的随访。学业成绩通过义务教育结束时的成绩来衡量。

结果

中等/高成就青少年的全因死亡率下降,而低成就青少年则未下降;中等/高成就青少年的绝望死亡略有增加,低成就青少年则显著增加,导致两种死亡率方面与成就相关的差距不断扩大。这些趋势主要由本土出生的青少年和女孩推动。

结论

瑞典青少年的趋势与美国劳动年龄人口的趋势相似,但部分与其他欧洲国家的相应趋势形成对比。未来的研究应调查在美国背景下强调的潜在原因——社会经济转型和更多的毒品供应——是否也促成了瑞典的这些趋势。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b4f2/11780141/38b77c30df9f/gr1.jpg

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