Brooks Holliday Stephanie, Sreenivasan Shoba, Walker Sarah Cusworth, Jordan Victor, Azizian Allen, Garrick Thomas
RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, USA.
USC Keck School of Medicine, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Sex Offending. 2022 Apr 19;17:e3667. doi: 10.5964/sotrap.3667. eCollection 2022 Apr.
This study followed 146 sexual offenders released from prison custody for a period of 25-years. Overall, 34% of individuals committed at least one sexual reoffense in the 25 years following release from incarceration. Most sexual recidivism occured within the first 15-years following release. The highest rates of sexual recidivism were observed for individuals under 34 years at release from incarceration, for whom recidivism steadily increased over time before peaking at 42% at 25 years. The mean age at reoffense was 42.51. Age was significantly associated with sexual recidivism at 5 years, but not at subsequent follow-up periods. These findings suggest that long-term patterns of sexual recidivism may be related to age at release. It will be important for future research to explore the characteristics of individuals who commit sexual offenses that may contribute to reoffending risk, and examine the effectiveness of policies and practices designed to mitigate recidivism.
本研究对146名从监狱获释的性犯罪者进行了为期25年的跟踪调查。总体而言,34%的人在出狱后的25年内至少再次实施了一次性犯罪。大多数性犯罪再犯发生在出狱后的前15年内。出狱时年龄在34岁以下的人,性犯罪再犯率最高,随着时间的推移,再犯率稳步上升,在25年时达到42%的峰值。再次犯罪的平均年龄为42.51岁。年龄在5年时与性犯罪再犯显著相关,但在随后的随访期则不然。这些发现表明,性犯罪再犯的长期模式可能与出狱时的年龄有关。未来的研究探索可能导致再犯风险的性犯罪者的特征,并检验旨在减轻再犯的政策和措施的有效性将很重要。