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1990年至2021年胰腺癌的全球、区域负担及其归因风险因素。

The global, regional burden of pancreatic cancer and its attributable risk factors from 1990 to 2021.

作者信息

Yu Weidong, Zhou Danyi, Meng Fanhao, Wang Jinjing, Wang Bo, Qiang Jianling, Shen Lijun, Wang Maofeng, Fang Hezhi

机构信息

Key Laboratory of Laboratory Medicine, Ministry of Education, Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325035, Zhejiang, China.

Affiliated Dongyang Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Dongyang, 322100, China.

出版信息

BMC Cancer. 2025 Jan 31;25(1):186. doi: 10.1186/s12885-025-13471-y.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cancer is the 12th most common type of cancer, and the sixth leading cause of cancer-related mortality, worldwide. Up-to-date statistics on pancreatic cancer would provide us with a better understanding of epidemiology and identify the causative risk factors for the prevention of this disease.

METHODS

The degree and change patterns of exposure as well as the attributable cancer burden, including incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and prevalence in global and regional, by sex, age, year, for pancreatic cancer, with the data extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases Study (GBD) 2021. All data analyses were conducted using linear regression analysis and the Joinpoint software (version 5.0.1).

RESULTS

In 2021, 508,533 new cases of pancreatic cancer have been reported; the mortality and prevalence rate increased to 5.95, and 5.12 respectively; and the global DALYs rate increased to 130.33 this year. Besides, the pancreatic cancer-associated rates of incidence, mortality, DALYs, and prevalence were higher in males than in females. In addition, these indicators in the high SDI (Sociodemographic index) region were higher than the global mean. To date, the high fasting plasma glucose remained the major risk factor that influenced the incidence, mortality, DALYs, and prevalence of pancreatic cancer, followed by tobacco and high body mass index (BMI).

CONCLUSIONS

Results of this study suggest that the burden of pancreatic cancer is increasing generally, therefore, more attention and measures should be taken to cope with this situation.

摘要

背景

胰腺癌是全球第12大常见癌症类型,也是癌症相关死亡的第六大主要原因。最新的胰腺癌统计数据将有助于我们更好地了解其流行病学情况,并确定预防该疾病的致病风险因素。

方法

利用全球疾病负担研究(GBD)2021的数据,按性别、年龄、年份,分析全球和区域层面胰腺癌的暴露程度及变化模式,以及可归因的癌症负担,包括发病率、死亡率、伤残调整生命年(DALYs)和患病率。所有数据分析均采用线性回归分析和Joinpoint软件(版本5.0.1)进行。

结果

2021年,报告了508,533例胰腺癌新发病例;死亡率和患病率分别升至5.95和5.12;今年全球伤残调整生命年率升至130.33。此外,男性胰腺癌的发病率、死亡率、伤残调整生命年率和患病率均高于女性。此外,高社会人口学指数(SDI)地区的这些指标高于全球平均水平。迄今为止,高空腹血糖仍然是影响胰腺癌发病率、死亡率、伤残调整生命年率和患病率的主要风险因素,其次是烟草和高体重指数(BMI)。

结论

本研究结果表明,胰腺癌负担总体上在增加,因此,应更加关注并采取措施应对这一情况。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6dd7/11786447/adb7f597bfc1/12885_2025_13471_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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