Zhou Wangni, Li Xuekun, Dai Bo, Zhang Yuqin, Liu Yijun
School of Business, Central South University, Changsha, 410083, China.
Yunnan Plateau Agricultural Characteristic Industry Research Institute, Yunnan Agricultural University, Kunming, 650201, China.
J Environ Manage. 2025 Feb;375:124063. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124063. Epub 2025 Jan 31.
An issue that requires immediate attention in China is how to coordinate the interaction between green finance, new urbanization, and rural industry revitalization. This study develops a mechanistic framework for the coupling and coordination of green finance, new urbanization, and rural industry revitalization, and employs the spatial Durbin model to investigate the temporal and spatial evolution of connecting coordination degree and driving mechanism. The results indicate that (1) green finance development is lagging in the comprehensive development of China's three systems. (2) The dynamic evolution features of the degree of linkage coordination between China's green finance, new urbanization, and rural industry revitalization show a potential polarization phenomenon. (3) Improving economic development and government administration has a facilitating effect on neighboring areas, whereas improving the level of rural transport infrastructure has a hindering effect. (4) While optimizing the agricultural industry's structure and raising the level of government administration in the central region impedes coupled and coordinated development, increasing the economic development in the eastern and western regions promotes it. Therefore, building green credit and investment should be accelerated; potential polarization between inter-provincial regions should be identified timely; and key factors affecting the development of coupled coordination should be a focus. In view of the characteristics of spatial heterogeneity, measures such as formulating coupled and coordinated development strategies for each region in accordance with local conditions will promote coupled and coordinated development.
在中国，一个需要立即关注的问题是如何协调绿色金融、新型城镇化和乡村产业振兴之间的相互作用。本研究构建了一个绿色金融、新型城镇化和乡村产业振兴耦合协调的机理框架，并运用空间杜宾模型考察连接协调度的时空演变及驱动机制。研究结果表明：（1）绿色金融发展在中国三大系统的综合发展中滞后。（2）中国绿色金融、新型城镇化和乡村产业振兴之间的联动协调度动态演变呈现出潜在的极化现象。（3）提高经济发展水平和政府治理水平对邻近地区具有促进作用，而提高农村交通基础设施水平则具有阻碍作用。（4）中部地区优化农业产业结构和提高政府治理水平会阻碍耦合协调发展，而东部和西部地区经济发展水平的提高则会促进耦合协调发展。因此，应加快构建绿色信贷与投资；及时识别省际区域间的潜在极化现象；将影响耦合协调发展的关键因素作为重点。鉴于空间异质性特征，因地制宜制定各地区耦合协调发展策略等措施将促进耦合协调发展。
