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农村数字经济对中国新型城镇化的影响。

The impact of the rural digital economy on China's new-type urbanization.

作者信息

Chen Nan

机构信息

College of Economics and Management, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2025 Apr 24;20(4):e0321663. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0321663. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

The Chinese government is vigorously implementing the rural revitalization strategy and accelerating the process of new-type urbanization. The rapid development of the rural digital economy has emerged as a new driving force for new-type urbanization. This study aims to explore how the rural digital economy impacts China's new-type urbanization from direct, heterogeneous, and indirect perspectives. Using the provincial-level panel data in China from 2014 to 2022, a mixed-methods approach is employed for the empirical research. The CRITIC and Entropy TOPSIS are used to assess the comprehensive development level and temporal characteristics of the rural digital economy and new-type urbanization. Moreover, a global-local auto-correlation analysis is carried out to depict the spatial distribution of the two variables. Subsequently, a two-way fixed effects model is constructed to verify the direct impact of the rural digital economy on new-type urbanization, as well as its structural and spatial heterogeneity characteristics. Finally, an mediating effect model is established to explore the impact paths through which the rural digital economy impacts new-type urbanization. The results show that the rural digital economy has significantly promoted new-type urbanization. Specifically, rural digital infrastructure, digital transformation of agriculture, agricultural production service informatization have a significant positive effect, while the role of rural life digitization is not significant. The rural digital economy has more significant positive impact on population agglomeration and economic growth, followed by social public service, but has no significant impact on ecological environmental protection and urban-rural coordination. Additionally, the qualitative analysis identifies geographical region, poverty, demographic structure and social equality as notable influencing factors in this impact. Further mechanism analysis result indicates that the rural digital economy impacts new-type urbanization through rural human capital improvement, agricultural economic growth and rural industrial structure upgrading. This research contributes to the existing body of knowledge by providing the practical path of rural development to promote new-type urbanization in the context of the digital economy, also clarifies the weak points and key links in this process. It also highlights the need for further research into the institutional factors that influence this relationship to enhances the policy applicability.

摘要

中国政府正在大力实施乡村振兴战略,加速新型城镇化进程。农村数字经济的快速发展已成为新型城镇化的新驱动力。本研究旨在从直接、异质性和间接视角探讨农村数字经济如何影响中国的新型城镇化。利用2014年至2022年中国省级面板数据,采用混合方法进行实证研究。运用CRITIC法和熵权TOPSIS法评估农村数字经济和新型城镇化的综合发展水平及时间特征。此外,进行全局-局部自相关分析以描绘两个变量的空间分布。随后,构建双向固定效应模型以验证农村数字经济对新型城镇化的直接影响及其结构和空间异质性特征。最后,建立中介效应模型以探究农村数字经济影响新型城镇化的作用路径。结果表明,农村数字经济显著促进了新型城镇化。具体而言,农村数字基础设施、农业数字化转型、农业生产服务信息化具有显著正向影响,而农村生活数字化的作用不显著。农村数字经济对人口集聚和经济增长的正向影响更为显著,其次是社会公共服务,但对生态环境保护和城乡协调发展无显著影响。此外,定性分析确定地理区域、贫困、人口结构和社会平等是这一影响中的显著影响因素。进一步的机制分析结果表明,农村数字经济通过提升农村人力资本、促进农业经济增长和推动农村产业结构升级来影响新型城镇化。本研究通过提供在数字经济背景下促进新型城镇化的农村发展实践路径,为现有知识体系做出了贡献,同时也厘清了这一过程中的薄弱环节和关键环节。它还强调需要进一步研究影响这种关系的制度因素,以提高政策适用性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/efff/12021297/e6bf9406257e/pone.0321663.g001.jpg

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