Su Tiantian, Li Cuixia
College of Economics and Management, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin, China.
PLoS One. 2025 Feb 4;20(2):e0313906. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0313906. eCollection 2025.
The animal husbandry industry stands as a pillar of the agricultural sector. According to the defining characteristics of high-quality development in animal husbandry, this paper establishes a comprehensive evaluative indicator system. This system evaluates the quality of development in the industry from 2010 to 2022, including five key dimensions: output efficiency, product safety, resource conservation, environmental friendliness, and the level of scientific and technological &management. Results indicate a positive overall trend in the high-quality development of China's animal industry throughout this period. Provinces exhibiting the highest average levels of development are, in descending order, Jiangsu, Shanghai, Anhui, Beijing, Fujian, Yunnan, Chongqing, Gansu, Guangdong, and Guangxi. Among these five dimensions, the level of environmental friendliness and the level of scientific and technological &management are better developed, while the level of resource conservation, the level of product safety, and the level of output efficiency are poorly developed. Regional differences have demonstrated a slight narrowing trend; however, the effect of intra-regional differences on the overall differences has remained relatively stable. In contrast, the effect of inter-regional differences on overall differences has gradually reduced, while the effect of hypervariable density has steadily increased, becoming the most significant factor. High-quality development in China's animal industry exhibits a strong path dependency, with advancements typically occurring incrementally between adjacent levels and an insignificant probability of leapfrogging. The level of high-quality development in a given region is significantly influenced by the development levels observed in neighbouring regions, illustrating a phenomenon akin to the adage that One who is near vermilion is stained red, one who is near ink is stained black. Factors such as urbanisation rates, levels of scientific and technological innovation, transport infrastructure, levels of agricultural financial development, and population density all contribute positively to the high-quality development of China's animal industry. At the same time, a larger share of animal husbandry in both the overall industrial sector and the agricultural industry further contributes to this high-quality development; whereas, GDP per capita and fiscal support for agriculture do not appear to have a significant effect.
畜牧业是农业部门的支柱产业。本文依据畜牧业高质量发展的界定特征,构建了一套综合评价指标体系。该体系对2010年至2022年期间畜牧业的发展质量进行评估,涵盖产出效率、产品安全、资源节约、环境友好以及科技与管理水平五个关键维度。结果表明,在此期间中国畜牧业高质量发展总体呈积极态势。发展平均水平最高的省份依次为江苏、上海、安徽、北京、福建、云南、重庆、甘肃、广东和广西。在这五个维度中,环境友好水平和科技与管理水平发展较好,而资源节约水平、产品安全水平和产出效率水平发展较差。区域差异呈略微缩小趋势;然而,区域内差异对总体差异的影响相对稳定。相比之下,区域间差异对总体差异的影响逐渐减小,而异质性密度的影响稳步上升,成为最显著的因素。中国畜牧业的高质量发展表现出较强的路径依赖性,进步通常在相邻水平之间渐进发生,跨越式发展的可能性较小。特定地区的高质量发展水平受周边地区发展水平的显著影响,体现了“近朱者赤,近墨者黑”的现象。城市化率、科技创新水平、交通基础设施、农业金融发展水平和人口密度等因素均对中国畜牧业的高质量发展有积极贡献。同时,畜牧业在整个工业部门和农业产业中所占份额越大,越有助于实现这种高质量发展;而人均国内生产总值和农业财政支持似乎没有显著影响。