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通过心电图测定生物年龄对衰老相关疾病的传统风险评估进行重新分类。

Reclassification of the conventional risk assessment for aging-related diseases by electrocardiogram-enabled biological age.

作者信息

Liu Chih-Min, Kuo Ming-Jen, Kuo Chin-Yu, Wu I-Chien, Chen Pei-Fen, Hsu Wan-Ting, Liao Li-Lien, Chen Shih-Ann, Tsao Hsuan-Ming, Liu Chien-Liang, Hu Yu-Feng

机构信息

Heart Rhythm Center, Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.

Institute of Clinical Medicine and Faculty of Medicine, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Taipei, Taiwan.

出版信息

NPJ Aging. 2025 Feb 6;11(1):7. doi: 10.1038/s41514-025-00198-0.

Abstract

An artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled electrocardiogram (ECG) model has been developed in a healthy adult population to predict ECG biological age (ECG-BA). This ECG-BA exhibited a robust correlation with chronological age (CA) in healthy adults and additionally significantly enhanced the prediction of aging-related diseases' onset in adults with subclinical diseases. The model showed particularly strong predictive power for cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular diseases such as stroke, coronary artery disease, peripheral arterial occlusive disease, myocardial infarction, Alzheimer's disease, osteoarthritis, and cancers. When combined with CA, ECG-BA improved diagnostic accuracy and risk classification by 21% over using CA alone, notably offering the greatest improvements in cancer prediction. The net reclassification improvement significantly reduced misclassification rates for disease onset predictions. This comprehensive study validates ECG-BA as an effective supplement to CA, advancing the precision of risk assessments for aging-related conditions and suggesting broad implications for enhancing preventive healthcare strategies, potentially leading to better patient outcomes.

摘要

一种基于人工智能(AI)的心电图(ECG)模型已在健康成年人群中开发出来,用于预测心电图生物年龄(ECG-BA)。在健康成年人中,这种ECG-BA与实际年龄(CA)呈现出强相关性,此外,它还显著提高了对患有亚临床疾病的成年人中与衰老相关疾病发病的预测能力。该模型对心血管疾病和非心血管疾病,如中风、冠状动脉疾病、外周动脉闭塞性疾病、心肌梗死、阿尔茨海默病、骨关节炎和癌症,显示出特别强的预测能力。当与CA结合使用时,ECG-BA比单独使用CA时将诊断准确性和风险分类提高了21%,尤其在癌症预测方面有最大的改进。净重新分类改善显著降低了疾病发病预测的错误分类率。这项全面的研究验证了ECG-BA作为CA的有效补充,提高了与衰老相关疾病风险评估的精度,并表明对加强预防性医疗保健策略具有广泛意义,可能带来更好的患者预后。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3100/11802786/e18e12b42fb0/41514_2025_198_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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