Li Yuan, Wang Rui, Ma Hongbo, Zhang Jian-Min
Department of Hydraulic Engineering, State Key Laboratory of Hydroscience and Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China.
Nat Commun. 2025 Feb 8;16(1):1466. doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-56525-2.
Groundwater restoration is increasingly common to mitigate groundwater overexploitation, which proves effective in resolving urban water scarcity and regional unsustainable development. China's South-to-North Water Diversion Project is one of the largest water transfer projects to restore groundwater and resolve water shortage in Beijing. However, how the rapidly restored groundwater of this magnitude changes regional seismic stability is largely unknown. Here, we explore the relation between elevated groundwater table and seismic ground liquefaction based on the case of Beijing under the impact of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project. We collect groundwater table depth records and use them to drive three-dimensional geotechnical models that generate ground liquefaction hazard maps. We find a remarkable increase in coverage and severity of liquefaction due to groundwater table rise. Infrastructures built during the rapid urbanization process are often under low groundwater table and thus illy prepared for this increased seismic risk. These findings highlight the necessity to consider the seismic consequence of large-scale groundwater restoration projects.
地下水修复在缓解地下水超采方面越来越普遍,这在解决城市水资源短缺和区域不可持续发展方面已被证明是有效的。中国的南水北调工程是最大的调水工程之一,旨在恢复地下水并解决北京的缺水问题。然而,如此大规模快速恢复的地下水如何改变区域地震稳定性在很大程度上尚不清楚。在此,我们以南水北调工程影响下的北京为例,探讨地下水位上升与地震地面液化之间的关系。我们收集地下水位深度记录,并利用这些记录驱动三维岩土模型,生成地面液化危害图。我们发现,由于地下水位上升,液化的范围和严重程度显著增加。在快速城市化进程中建设的基础设施往往处于低地下水位条件下,因此对这种增加的地震风险准备不足。这些发现凸显了考虑大规模地下水修复工程地震后果的必要性。