Liu Ning, Babazono Akira, Hayashida Kenshi, Jamal Aziz, Ishihara Reiko, Yamao Reiko, Yoshida Shinichiro, Matsuda Shinya, Li Yunfei
Department of Preventive Medicine and Community Health, University of Occupational and Environmental Health, Kitakyushu, Japan.
Department of Health Care Administration and Management, Graduate School of Medical Science, Kyushu University, Fukuoka, Japan.
Arch Gerontol Geriatr. 2025 Jun;133:105812. doi: 10.1016/j.archger.2025.105812. Epub 2025 Mar 4.
This study aims to assess the cost-effectiveness of percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG) and nasogastric tube (NGT) in older adults with advanced dementia, compared with non-artificial nutrition.
Retrospective cohort study. Medical claims data and long-term care claims data from Fukuoka Prefecture, Japan, were used. We identified 3,882 older adults (≥75 years) with advanced dementia who were hospitalized between April 2016 and March 2019 due to dysphagia, malnutrition, or aspiration pneumonia. Using propensity score matching, we matched 192 patients in the PEG group with 192 in the non-artificial nutrition group, and 490 patients in the NGT group with 490 in the non-artificial nutrition group. We examined the survival years and total costs of each patient from the date of admission to March 31, 2020, and thereby estimated the cost-effectiveness of PEG and NGT, respectively, versus non-artificial nutrition. The net benefit regression model was employed to estimate the incremental net benefits (INB) with varying values of willingness-to-pay (WTP) for PEG and NGT. Furthermore, cost-effectiveness acceptability curve was used to present the probability of the cost-effectiveness of each intervention.
As WTP increased from JPY 7,747,909 (equivalent to US$51,546) to JPY 28,163,651 (equivalent to US$187,371), the probability of PEG being cost-effective increased from 50 % to nearly100 %. The NGT group had negative INB estimates.
Both PEG and NGT are less likely to provide economic values for patients with advanced dementia. However, this conclusion should be further refined through detailed cost-effectiveness analysis from multiple perspectives.
本研究旨在评估经皮内镜下胃造口术(PEG)和鼻胃管(NGT)在晚期痴呆症老年人中的成本效益,并与非人工营养进行比较。
回顾性队列研究。使用了日本福冈县的医疗理赔数据和长期护理理赔数据。我们确定了3882名因吞咽困难、营养不良或吸入性肺炎于2016年4月至2019年3月住院的晚期痴呆症老年人(≥75岁)。采用倾向得分匹配法,将PEG组的192名患者与非人工营养组的192名患者进行匹配,将NGT组的490名患者与非人工营养组的490名患者进行匹配。我们检查了每位患者从入院日期到2020年3月31日的生存年限和总成本,从而分别估计了PEG和NGT相对于非人工营养的成本效益。采用净效益回归模型估计PEG和NGT在不同支付意愿(WTP)值下的增量净效益(INB)。此外,使用成本效益可接受性曲线来展示每种干预措施具有成本效益的概率。
随着WTP从7747909日元(相当于51546美元)增加到28163651日元(相当于187371美元),PEG具有成本效益的概率从50%增加到近100%。NGT组的INB估计值为负。
PEG和NGT为晚期痴呆症患者提供经济价值的可能性均较低。然而,这一结论应通过多视角的详细成本效益分析进一步完善。