Monfort Samuel S
Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, Ruckersville, Virginia.
Traffic Inj Prev. 2025;26(6):697-702. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2024.2446980. Epub 2025 Mar 18.
The current study was conducted to update estimates of crash incompatibility between cars and SUVs/pickups in the United States. The tradeoff between case driver protection and crash partner risk associated with increasing vehicle curb weight was also quantified.
Crashes between two 1- to 4-year-old vehicles where at least one driver was killed were extracted from the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) for two intervals, 2011-2016 and 2017-2022. The fatality rate for drivers and car crash partners by vehicle type and curb weight was calculated across these intervals to characterize changing self-protection and aggressivity over time.
Crash incompatibility between cars and SUVs/pickups improved between 2011-2016 and 2017-2022. Pickup trucks, which had previously killed the drivers of car crash partners at 2.5 times the rate of cars, were just 1.9 times more likely in 2017-2022. Similarly, SUVs over 5,000 lb reduced their car partner death rate from 1.9 times the rate of cars to just 1.2 times. We also found that additional curb weight conferred the greatest protective benefit to lighter vehicles while not accruing much additional risk to crash partners. The reverse was true for heavier vehicles, for which additional weight provided negligible extra protection but a substantial increase in crash partner risk.
Crash incompatibility in the fleet has continued to improve in recent years, particularly among the heaviest pickups and SUVs. Although curb weight remains an important factor in driver protection, our data suggest that the benefit plateaus at 4,000 lb, with minimal incremental gains above this point. These findings suggest that vehicle design changes have contributed to safer outcomes and that mass reduction among the heaviest vehicles may further improve crash outcomes in the future without reducing the protectiveness of those vehicles.
本研究旨在更新美国汽车与运动型多用途汽车(SUV)/皮卡之间碰撞不相容性的估计。同时还对车辆整备质量增加所带来的驾乘人员保护与碰撞对方风险之间的权衡进行了量化。
从死亡率分析报告系统(FARS)中提取了2011 - 2016年和2017 - 2022年这两个时间段内,两辆车龄在1至4年且至少有一名驾驶员死亡的车辆之间的碰撞事故。计算了这些时间段内不同车型和整备质量的驾驶员及汽车碰撞对方的死亡率,以描述自我保护能力和攻击性随时间的变化。
2011 - 2016年至2017 - 2022年期间,汽车与SUV/皮卡之间的碰撞不相容性有所改善。皮卡此前致使汽车碰撞对方驾驶员死亡的概率是汽车的2.5倍,而在2017 - 2022年这一概率仅为1.9倍。同样,超过5000磅的SUV将其汽车碰撞对方的死亡率从汽车的1.9倍降至仅1.2倍。我们还发现,额外的整备质量对较轻车辆提供了最大的保护益处,同时不会给碰撞对方带来太多额外风险。对于较重车辆则相反,额外的重量提供的额外保护可忽略不计,但碰撞对方的风险大幅增加。
近年来,车队中的碰撞不相容性持续改善,尤其是在最重的皮卡和SUV中。尽管整备质量仍是驾驶员保护的重要因素,但我们的数据表明,在4000磅时保护效益趋于平稳,超过此点增量收益极小。这些发现表明车辆设计的改变有助于实现更安全的结果,并且最重车辆的质量减轻可能在未来进一步改善碰撞结果,同时不会降低这些车辆的保护性能。