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美国肥厚型心肌病死亡率下降趋势的证据及新冠疫情的影响

Evidence of Declining Mortality Trends for Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy in the United States and the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic.

作者信息

Sayed Ahmed, Maron Barry J, Rowin Ethan J, Maron Martin S

机构信息

Faculty of Medicine, Ain Shams University Cairo Egypt.

Houston Methodist DeBakey Heart & Vascular Center Houston TX USA.

出版信息

J Am Heart Assoc. 2025 Apr;14(7):e037047. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.124.037047. Epub 2025 Mar 25.

DOI:10.1161/JAHA.124.037047
PMID:40133243
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12132824/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Dedicated hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) center cohorts have reported reductions in HCM-related deaths, likely due to the introduction of contemporary treatments. Similar declining HCM mortality rates are reported in the general US population over 2 decades (1999-2019), but the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HCM has not been assessed.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Age-adjusted mortality rates based on death certificates from 1999 to 2022 were extracted from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiological Research. HCM-related mortality trends were compared with non-HCM cardiovascular deaths and all-cause deaths. Excess HCM-related deaths were estimated during the 2020 to 2022 COVID-19 pandemic. From 1999 to 2019, HCM-related age-adjusted mortality rates declined progressively, reaching a cumulative 53% (95% CI, 50%-56%) reduction in 2019, exceeding declines in non-HCM cardiovascular disease (25%) and all-cause deaths (18%). Declines were evident among all age groups but were most substantial among patients aged 15 to 24 years (62%; 95% CI, 47%-73%) and 25 to 44 years (62% [95% CI, 56%-68%]) but less so in patients aged ≥65 years. During the COVID-19 pandemic, HCM-related deaths by 31% (95% CI, 23%-40%), exceeding increases in non-HCM cardiovascular and all-cause deaths. During the pandemic, 5462 HCM-related deaths were observed compared with 4770 expected deaths on the basis of the preceding period, resulting in a 692 estimated excess HCM-related deaths (95% CI, 554-830).

CONCLUSIONS

Based on an analysis of death certificates, the marked decline in HCM-related deaths of >50% achieved in the US general population during the 2 decades from 1999 to 2019 was substantially reversed (by 29%) during the subsequent 3-year COVID-19 pandemic.

摘要

背景

专门的肥厚型心肌病(HCM)中心队列报告称,HCM相关死亡人数有所减少,这可能归因于当代治疗方法的引入。在美国普通人群中,过去20年(1999 - 2019年)也有类似的HCM死亡率下降情况,但新冠疫情对HCM的影响尚未得到评估。

方法与结果

从疾病控制与预防中心的广泛在线流行病学研究数据中提取了1999年至2022年基于死亡证明的年龄调整死亡率。将HCM相关的死亡率趋势与非HCM心血管疾病死亡和全因死亡进行比较。估计了2020年至2022年新冠疫情期间HCM相关的超额死亡人数。从1999年到2019年,HCM相关的年龄调整死亡率逐渐下降,到2019年累计下降了53%(95%CI,50% - 56%),超过了非HCM心血管疾病(25%)和全因死亡(18%)的下降幅度。各年龄组均有明显下降,但在15至24岁患者中下降最为显著(62%;95%CI,47% - 73%)和25至44岁患者中(62%[95%CI,56% - 68%]),而在≥65岁患者中下降幅度较小。在新冠疫情期间,HCM相关死亡人数增加了31%(95%CI,23% - 40%),超过了非HCM心血管疾病和全因死亡人数的增加幅度。在疫情期间,观察到5462例HCM相关死亡,而根据前期情况预计为4770例死亡,导致估计有692例HCM相关超额死亡(95%CI,554 - 830)。

结论

基于对死亡证明的分析,在1999年至2019年的2十年间,美国普通人群中HCM相关死亡人数显著下降超过50%,但在随后的3年新冠疫情期间,这一趋势大幅逆转(逆转了29%)。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1854/12132824/ef8a181990c4/JAH3-14-e037047-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1854/12132824/309b82a03378/JAH3-14-e037047-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1854/12132824/48739b3d5302/JAH3-14-e037047-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1854/12132824/7edc648ba270/JAH3-14-e037047-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1854/12132824/ef8a181990c4/JAH3-14-e037047-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1854/12132824/309b82a03378/JAH3-14-e037047-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1854/12132824/48739b3d5302/JAH3-14-e037047-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1854/12132824/7edc648ba270/JAH3-14-e037047-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1854/12132824/ef8a181990c4/JAH3-14-e037047-g003.jpg

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