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1942年至2005年间在挪威皇家海军服役的2663名男性潜艇船员的癌症发病率和特定病因死亡率:一项基于登记处的队列研究。

Cancer incidence and cause-specific mortality in 2663 male submariners with service in the Royal Norwegian Navy between 1942 and 2005: a registry-based cohort study.

作者信息

Strand Leif Aage, Rudvin Inger, Martinsen Jan Ivar, Fadum Elin Anita, Grimsrud Tom Kristian

机构信息

Institute of Military Epidemiology, Norwegian Armed Forces Joint Medical Services, Ullensaker, Norway

Institute of Military Epidemiology, Norwegian Armed Forces Joint Medical Services, Ullensaker, Norway.

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2025 Mar 26;15(3):e095385. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-095385.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

A previous cohort study of male Norwegian Navy submariners showed higher overall cancer incidence and lower all-cause mortality than the general Norwegian population. We have extended the follow-up and show more precise estimates through seven decades.

DESIGN

Historical cohort study using outcome data from Norwegian cancer incidence and cause-of-death registries.

SETTING

Linkage with the outcome registries was performed by means of unique national identification numbers given to all Norwegian citizens.

PARTICIPANTS

2663 military men who ever served aboard a Navy submarine between 1942 and 2005.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Standardised incidence ratios for cancer and mortality ratios were calculated from national period-specific, gender-specific and age-specific rates. Poisson regression was used to compare cancer incidence in groups with different length of submarine service (2 years vs ≤2 years).

RESULTS

The overall cancer incidence was 15% higher than expected from the national rates, with colon, lung, skin (melanoma and non-melanoma) and urinary tract contributing 90% of the excess number of cases. Most of the excess was confined to those with shorter-time service, who also showed elevated risk of alcohol-related cancers. Excess non-melanoma skin cancer was most clearly seen among submariners with >2 years of service. Mortality from all causes combined was lower among submariners than in the general population, due to a markedly low mortality from non-neoplastic diseases and external causes.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased risk of non-melanoma skin cancer was found among submariners with long-term service, and skin exposure to carcinogens in petroleum products was hypothesised as an explanation. Less support for occupational risks was found for other cancers, although the lack of specific exposure data and limited statistical power reduced the possibility of identifying such associations. A 'healthy soldier effect' appeared in the mortality data, mainly restricted to low mortality from non-neoplastic diseases and external causes.

摘要

目的

先前一项针对挪威海军男性潜艇船员的队列研究表明,其总体癌症发病率高于挪威普通人群,而全因死亡率则低于挪威普通人群。我们延长了随访时间,并给出了七十年来更精确的估计值。

设计

利用挪威癌症发病率和死因登记处的结局数据进行历史队列研究。

背景

通过赋予所有挪威公民的唯一国家身份识别号码与结局登记处建立联系。

参与者

1942年至2005年间曾在海军潜艇上服役的2663名军人。

结局指标

根据国家特定时期、性别和年龄的发病率计算癌症标准化发病率和死亡率。采用泊松回归比较不同潜艇服役时长(2年与≤2年)组的癌症发病率。

结果

总体癌症发病率比国家发病率预期高15%,其中结肠癌、肺癌、皮肤癌(黑色素瘤和非黑色素瘤)和泌尿系统癌症占额外病例数的90%。大部分额外病例局限于服役时间较短的人员,他们患酒精相关癌症的风险也有所升高。非黑色素瘤皮肤癌在服役超过2年的潜艇船员中最为明显。由于非肿瘤性疾病和外部原因导致的死亡率显著较低,潜艇船员的全因死亡率低于普通人群。

结论

长期服役的潜艇船员中非黑色素瘤皮肤癌风险增加,推测原因是皮肤接触石油产品中的致癌物。对于其他癌症,职业风险的证据较少,尽管缺乏具体暴露数据和统计效力有限降低了识别此类关联的可能性。死亡率数据中出现了“健康士兵效应”,主要表现为非肿瘤性疾病和外部原因导致的低死亡率。

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