Curb J D, Ford C E, Pressel S, Palmer M, Babcock C, Hawkins C M
Am J Epidemiol. 1985 May;121(5):754-66. doi: 10.1093/aje/121.5.754.
Ascertainment of the vital status of individuals is of central importance to epidemiologic studies which monitor mortality as an end point. Utilizing identifying information collected in 1973-1974, the Hypertension Detection and Follow-up Program, a prospective, multicenter study, followed 25,362 individuals to determine eight-year mortality. In the most recent follow-up, there were 617 individuals whose vital status was not known. Available identifying information on these and on all 1,322 participants known to have died in 1979-1981 was submitted to the National Death Index (NDI) for possible confirmation of vital status. A subset of individuals who had Social Security numbers (490 lost to follow-up and 1,154 known deaths) was also submitted to the Social Security Administration (SSA). The NDI correctly identified 87.0% of the known deaths. Of the 1,154 known deaths (those with known Social Security numbers) submitted to both agencies, the NDI identified 93.1% and the SSA 83.6%. Significant variations by race and sex were noted in the identification rates, in part because of Social Security number discrepancies. False matches through the NDI matching process occurred for 10.4% of the known deaths. In the more restrictive SSA search, only 0.5% false matches resulted. For those lost to follow-up, vital status was ascertained in 57.1%. This paper describes the relative efficacy and attributes of the use of these systems to ascertain vital status.
确定个体的生命状态对于以死亡率为终点的流行病学研究至关重要。利用1973 - 1974年收集的识别信息,高血压检测与随访项目(一项前瞻性、多中心研究)对25362名个体进行随访以确定八年死亡率。在最近一次随访中,有617名个体的生命状态未知。关于这些个体以及所有已知在1979 - 1981年死亡的1322名参与者的现有识别信息已提交给国家死亡索引(NDI)以确认生命状态。一部分拥有社会安全号码的个体(490名失访者和1154名已知死亡者)也提交给了社会保障管理局(SSA)。NDI正确识别了87.0%的已知死亡者。在提交给两个机构的1154名已知死亡者(那些拥有已知社会安全号码的人)中,NDI识别出93.1%,SSA识别出83.6%。在识别率上注意到了种族和性别的显著差异,部分原因是社会安全号码的差异。通过NDI匹配过程出现的错误匹配占已知死亡者的10.4%。在更严格的SSA搜索中,仅产生了0.5%的错误匹配。对于失访者,57.1%的生命状态得到了确定。本文描述了使用这些系统确定生命状态的相对有效性和特点。