Afzal Ali, Liu Yan-Yan, Noureen Amara, Rehman Amna, Iftikhar Mehreen, Afzal Hanan, Azam Fareeha, Saddozai Umair Ali Khan, Jan Tayyba, Asif Zoya, Zhang Lei, Ji Xin-Ying, Khawar Muhammad Babar
Institute of Translational Medicine, Medical College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China.
Molecular Medicine and Cancer Therapeutics Lab, Department of Zoology, Faculty of Science and Technology, University of Central Punjab, Lahore, Pakistan.
Orphanet J Rare Dis. 2025 Mar 27;20(1):143. doi: 10.1186/s13023-025-03652-0.
Gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) accounts for 1.3% of cancer incidence and 1.7% of cancer-related deaths which emphasizes the need for comprehensive research in epidemiological trends.
We aim to address this gap by investigating global prevalence trends across various regions, age groups, risk factors and cancer stages.
A meta-analysis of studies retrieved from Google Scholar, PubMed and Web of Science, reporting prevalence of GBC was conducted using a predetermined screening criterion. Meta Regression and Egger's Regression-based tests were employed to assess heterogeneity and publication bias, respectively.
We identified three types of studies (n = 20), primarily originating from Asia (n = 10) over a cumulative time period of 24 years (1988-2012). The pooled analysis revealed a statistically significant GBC prevalence of 20.3 ± 5.2% (95% CI 9.3-31.3%, p = 0.001) among at-risk populations, including those with gallstones or cholecystitis. Analysis of potential publication bias showed none, nevertheless, individual parameters indicated varying significance. Subgroup analyses highlighted regional, temporal, and demographic variations, emphasizing the influence of factors like sample size and age on GBC prevalence. Correlation analysis demonstrated strong positive associations with sample size (p < 0.01), gender distribution (male: r = 0.85, p < 0.01, female: r = 0.806, p < 0.01), and prevalence rates (r = 0.98, p = 0.04).
Despite of less data present, our comprehensive overview of prevalence, regional variations, and demographic associations serves as a crucial starting point for future targeted investigations. The study fulfills a gap in epidemiology of GBC and emphasizes the need for increased attention and provides a pioneering arena in future.
胆囊癌(GBC)占癌症发病率的1.3%,占癌症相关死亡人数的1.7%,这凸显了对其流行病学趋势进行全面研究的必要性。
我们旨在通过调查不同地区、年龄组、危险因素和癌症阶段的全球患病率趋势来填补这一空白。
对从谷歌学术、PubMed和科学网检索到的报告GBC患病率的研究进行荟萃分析,采用预定的筛选标准。分别采用Meta回归和基于Egger回归的检验来评估异质性和发表偏倚。
我们确定了三种类型的研究(n = 20),主要来自亚洲(n = 10),累计时间为24年(1988 - 2012年)。汇总分析显示,在包括胆结石或胆囊炎患者在内的高危人群中,GBC患病率具有统计学意义,为20.3±5.2%(95%置信区间9.3 - 31.3%,p = 0.001)。对潜在发表偏倚的分析显示不存在偏倚,然而,各个参数显示出不同的显著性。亚组分析突出了区域、时间和人口统计学差异,强调了样本量和年龄等因素对GBC患病率的影响。相关性分析表明与样本量(p < 0.01)、性别分布(男性:r = 0.85,p < 0.01,女性:r = 0.806,p < 0.01)和患病率(r = 0.98,p = 0.04)呈强正相关。
尽管现有数据较少,但我们对患病率、区域差异和人口统计学关联的全面概述是未来有针对性研究的关键起点。该研究填补了GBC流行病学的空白,强调了需要更多关注,并为未来提供了一个开创性的领域。