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在过去一万年里,战争既减少了不平等,也加剧了不平等。

War both reduced and increased inequality over the past ten thousand years.

作者信息

McCoy Mark D, Birch Jennifer, Chirikure Shadreck, Cruz Pablo, Green Adam S, Gronenborn Detlef, Lawrence Dan, Roscoe Paul

机构信息

Department of Anthropology, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32304.

Department of Anthropology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602.

出版信息

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2025 Apr 22;122(16):e2400695121. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2400695121. Epub 2025 Apr 14.

Abstract

Scholars are divided over the long-term effects that war has had on inequality. Some have argued that conflict grows the gap between rich and poor. Others counter that violence levels out wealth differences. The GINI Project Database is a large global sample of archaeological data on house sizes created to investigate what factors influenced economic inequality over long periods of time, including warfare. Over 39,000 individual residential units were coded as having fortifications present or absent, with about a third in fortified settlements (n = 13,372) and two-thirds in unfortified settlements (n = 25,897). We compared residential disparity (differences in residential unit sizes within a settlement) at sites around the world (n = 770) dating as far back as 10,000 y ago. We found strong support for the expectation that conflict was linked with increasing residential disparity (i.e., wealth inequality), specifically when governance was less collective and the main factor limiting agricultural production was available land. However, we also found long periods, especially in the earliest eras represented in the database, when fortified settlements had residential disparity less than or equal to unfortified settlements. These early societies tended to be more collective with available labor limiting agricultural production. We speculate that in these communities, the relative value of coalition building was higher, whereas in cases where conflict was associated with rising residential disparity, elites found a way to leverage their wealth to protect property. These contradictory models help explain why war co-occurs with increasing inequality in some cases and decreasing inequality in others.

摘要

学者们对于战争对不平等的长期影响存在分歧。一些人认为冲突会加大贫富差距。另一些人则反驳说暴力会缩小财富差异。基尼项目数据库是一个关于房屋大小的考古数据的大型全球样本,旨在研究包括战争在内的哪些因素在长期影响着经济不平等。超过39000个单独的居住单元被编码为有或没有防御工事,其中约三分之一位于有防御工事的定居点(n = 13372),三分之二位于无防御工事的定居点(n = 25897)。我们比较了世界各地(n = 770)可追溯到1万年前的遗址的居住差异(一个定居点内居住单元大小的差异)。我们发现有力证据支持这样的预期,即冲突与居住差异(即财富不平等)的增加有关,特别是当治理缺乏集体性且限制农业生产的主要因素是可用土地时。然而,我们也发现了很长的时期,尤其是在数据库所代表的最早时期,有防御工事的定居点的居住差异小于或等于无防御工事的定居点。这些早期社会往往更具集体性,可用劳动力限制着农业生产。我们推测,在这些社区中,建立联盟的相对价值更高,而在冲突与居住差异上升相关的情况下,精英们找到了利用他们的财富来保护财产的方法。这些相互矛盾的模式有助于解释为什么战争在某些情况下与不平等加剧同时出现,而在另一些情况下则与不平等减少同时出现。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e0da/12037038/9f090cd334bc/pnas.2400695121fig01.jpg

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