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北方群落对气候变暖的热均质化响应

Thermal homogenization of boreal communities in response to climate warming.

作者信息

Mäkinen Jussi, Ellis Emilie E, Antão Laura H, Davrinche Andréa, Laine Anna-Liisa, Saastamoinen Marjo, Conenna Irene, Hällfors Maria, Santangeli Andrea, Kaarlejärvi Elina, Heliölä Janne, Huikkonen Ida-Maria, Kuussaari Mikko, Leinonen Reima, Lehikoinen Aleksi, Pöyry Juha, Suuronen Anna, Salemaa Maija, Tonteri Tiina, Vuorio Kristiina M, Skjelbred Birger, Järvinen Marko, Drakare Stina, Carvalho Laurence, Welk Erik, Seidler Gunnar, Vangansbeke Pieter, Máliš František, Hédl Radim, Auffret Alistair G, Plue Jan, De Frenne Pieter, Kalwij Jesse M, Vanhatalo Jarno, Roslin Tomas

机构信息

Research Center for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Research Programme, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki FI-00014, Finland.

Nature Solutions Unit, Finnish Environment Institute (Syke), Helsinki FI-00790, Finland.

出版信息

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2025 Apr 29;122(17):e2415260122. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2415260122. Epub 2025 Apr 21.

Abstract

Globally, rising temperatures are increasingly favoring warm-affiliated species. Although changes in community composition are typically measured by the mean temperature affinity of species (the community temperature index, CTI), they may be driven by different processes and accompanied by shifts in the diversity of temperature affinities and breadth of species thermal niches. To resolve the pathways to community warming in Finnish flora and fauna, we examined multidecadal changes in the dominance and diversity of temperature affinities among understory forest plant, freshwater phytoplankton, butterfly, moth, and bird communities. CTI increased for all animal communities, with no change observed for plants or phytoplankton. In addition, the diversity of temperature affinities declined for all groups except butterflies, and this loss was more pronounced for the fastest-warming communities. These changes were driven in animals mainly by a decrease in cold-affiliated species and an increase in warm-affiliated species. In plants and phytoplankton the decline of thermal diversity was driven by declines of both cold- and warm-affiliated species. Plant and moth communities were increasingly dominated by thermal specialist species, and birds by thermal generalists. In general, climate warming outpaced changes in both the mean and diversity of temperature affinities of communities. Our results highlight the complex dynamics underpinning the thermal reorganization of communities across a large spatiotemporal gradient, revealing that extinctions of cold-affiliated species and colonization by warm-affiliated species lag behind changes in ambient temperature, while communities become less thermally diverse. Such changes can have important implications for community structure and ecosystem functioning under accelerating rates of climate change.

摘要

在全球范围内,气温上升越来越有利于喜好温暖环境的物种。虽然群落组成的变化通常通过物种的平均温度亲和力(群落温度指数,CTI)来衡量,但它们可能由不同的过程驱动,并伴随着温度亲和力的多样性变化和物种热生态位宽度的改变。为了弄清楚芬兰动植物群落变暖的途径,我们研究了林下森林植物、淡水浮游植物、蝴蝶、飞蛾和鸟类群落中温度亲和力的优势度和多样性在数十年间的变化。所有动物群落的CTI都有所增加,而植物或浮游植物群落未观察到变化。此外,除蝴蝶外,所有类群的温度亲和力多样性均有所下降,且这种下降在变暖最快的群落中更为明显。这些变化在动物中主要是由喜好寒冷环境的物种减少和喜好温暖环境的物种增加所驱动。在植物和浮游植物中,热多样性的下降是由喜好寒冷和喜好温暖环境的物种数量均减少所导致。植物和飞蛾群落越来越多地由热专性物种主导,而鸟类则由热广适性物种主导。总体而言,气候变暖的速度超过了群落温度亲和力的平均值和多样性的变化速度。我们的研究结果突出了在大时空梯度下群落热重组背后的复杂动态,揭示出喜好寒冷环境的物种灭绝和喜好温暖环境的物种定殖滞后于环境温度的变化,同时群落的热多样性降低。在气候变化加速的情况下,此类变化可能对群落结构和生态系统功能产生重要影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9e32/12054843/db4f8e20f9f3/pnas.2415260122fig01.jpg

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