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高纬度溢流火山喷发导致的北极变暖。

Arctic warming from a high-latitude effusive volcanic eruption.

作者信息

Zoëga Tómas, Storelvmo Trude, Krüger Kirstin

机构信息

Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.

Nord University Business School, Nord University, Bodø, Norway.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 26;15(1):14653. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-98811-5.

Abstract

The effusive Holuhraun eruption in Iceland emitted large quantities of sulfur into the troposphere during the fall and winter of 2014-15. Previous studies have shown that the resulting volcanic aerosols led to reduced insolation, and thus surface cooling, through increased cloud shortwave reflectance, mostly over the North Atlantic and Europe. Less attention has been paid to the Arctic, which at the time of the eruption received limited sunlight. Based on evidence from observations and model simulations, here we argue that increased cloud liquid water path and cloud cover following the 2014-15 Holuhraun eruption led to surface warming in the Arctic through trapping of longwave radiation. Our results show that sulfur emissions from the eruption led to extended lifetime of low and middle level clouds, reducing the longwave radiative cooling of the surface. This is the first time, to our knowledge, that an effusive volcanic eruption is shown to have this effect. Given the high level of volcanic activity in Iceland, these findings demonstrate the need to further investigate the climate impacts of high-latitude effusive volcanic eruptions. Moreover, marine cloud brightening through cloud seeding has been suggested as one way to combat anthropogenic climate change but, as our results suggest, such actions might have counteractive regional consequences.

摘要

2014 - 2015年秋冬期间,冰岛霍鲁阿朗的溢流型火山喷发向对流层释放了大量硫。此前的研究表明,由此产生的火山气溶胶通过增加云层短波反射率导致日照减少,进而使地表降温,这种情况主要发生在北大西洋和欧洲上空。而当时日照有限的北极地区受到的关注较少。基于观测和模型模拟的证据,我们在此认为,2014 - 2015年霍鲁阿朗火山喷发后云层液态水路径和云量的增加,通过捕获长波辐射导致了北极地区的地表变暖。我们的结果表明,火山喷发释放的硫使中低层云的寿命延长,减少了地表的长波辐射冷却。据我们所知,这是首次表明溢流型火山喷发会产生这种影响。鉴于冰岛的火山活动水平较高,这些发现表明有必要进一步研究高纬度溢流型火山喷发对气候的影响。此外,通过云种散播来使海洋云层增亮已被提议作为应对人为气候变化的一种方式,但是,正如我们的结果所显示的,此类行动可能会产生适得其反的区域后果。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0079/12033318/5e53fc3d2231/41598_2025_98811_Fig5_HTML.jpg

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