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新冠疫情对德国一所法医学机构接收死者入院情况的影响。

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on admissions of deceased to an institute of legal medicine in Germany.

作者信息

Allgoewer Kristina, Stark Christiane, Fitzek Antonia, Huter Tobias, Heinemann Axel, Ondruschka Benjamin

机构信息

Institute of Legal Medicine, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Apr 29;15(1):15115. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-97117-w.

Abstract

All over the world, the COVID-19 pandemic has impacted mortality beyond deaths that can be directly attributed to the viral disease. This study investigates the effects of the pandemic on admissions of deceased to a large institute of legal medicine and metropolitan morgue in Germany. Employing statistical models, the general time trend was separated from the effect of the pandemic in terms of place of death, autopsy category, age and sex. In addition, the pandemic's impact on one of the structurally most important public health determinants, poverty, on numbers of admissions in different place of death categories was analyzed. We find that the pandemic has caused a significant increase in admissions of those who died at residential addresses, which appears to be primarily driven by SARS-CoV-2 negative cases, and those who died in retirement and care facilities, with a significant overrepresentation of SARS-CoV-2 positive cases. A high degree of poverty in a neighborhood does not impact the likelihood to be admitted to the institute in those two categories before or during the pandemic. For dead bodies found in public spaces, however, a poverty variable causes a significant increase in the number of admissions during the pre-pandemic phase. Interestingly, this effect is reversed during the pandemic period. The number of admissions without an autopsy being ordered or requested increased significantly during the pandemic. Further, the COVID-19 pandemic caused a significant increase in admissions in the senile population. Our results indicate that the reluctance of treating physicians to conduct house calls to certify a death has persisted throughout the pandemic and has caused a surge of admissions of deceased to the institute of legal medicine without any criminological indications or subsequent rise in forensic autopsy orders.

摘要

在全球范围内,新冠疫情对死亡率的影响超出了可直接归因于该病毒疾病的死亡人数。本研究调查了疫情对德国一家大型法医学研究所和大城市停尸房接收死者情况的影响。通过统计模型,将总体时间趋势与疫情在死亡地点、尸检类别、年龄和性别方面的影响区分开来。此外,还分析了疫情对结构上最重要的公共卫生决定因素之一——贫困,在不同死亡地点类别接收人数方面的影响。我们发现,疫情导致在家中死亡者的接收人数显著增加,这似乎主要由新冠病毒检测呈阴性的病例推动,以及在退休和护理机构死亡者的接收人数显著增加,其中新冠病毒检测呈阳性的病例占比过高。社区的高度贫困在疫情之前或期间并不会影响这两类人群被该研究所接收的可能性。然而,对于在公共场所发现的尸体,贫困变量在疫情前阶段导致接收人数显著增加。有趣的是,在疫情期间这种影响发生了逆转。在疫情期间,未经下令或请求进行尸检的接收人数显著增加。此外,新冠疫情导致老年人群的接收人数显著增加。我们的结果表明,在整个疫情期间,治疗医生不愿上门认证死亡的情况一直存在,这导致了在没有任何犯罪学迹象或法医尸检命令随后增加的情况下,法医学研究所接收的死者人数激增。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1f58/12041269/acb55802bdfb/41598_2025_97117_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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