Van de Vliert Evert, Joshanloo Mohsen, Conway Iii Lucian G, Kluwer Esther S, Van Lange Paul A M
Department of Social and Organizational Psychology, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Department of Psychology, Keimyung University, Daegu, South Korea.
PLoS One. 2025 May 8;20(5):e0322084. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0322084. eCollection 2025.
Places differ in how livable they are perceived to be for minority groups. But why? We pursue an explanation through the lens of natural habitat variability (varying day length, temperature, and daily precipitation over the course of the year). Uncertainty reduction theory, flexible systems theory, and climato-economic theory offer different explanations for how habitat variability influences mindsets about racial and ethnic minorities, gays and lesbians, foreign immigrants, and people with intellectual disabilities. To test our hypotheses, we analyzed the perceived livability of the place of residence for these minority groups by 1,332,558 native inhabitants from 163 countries. Our results support the theoretical notion that variable habitats foster flexible psychosocial systems. Minorities are viewed to have better livability in places with more variable habitats. Economic affluence reinforces this trend, and the interaction effect is mediated by the quality of governance. These country-level findings (R2 ≈ 0.52) demonstrate construct, concurrent, convergent, divergent, substantive, and forecast validity. They significantly overshadow effects of individual-level characteristics and mindsets (R2 ≈ 0.03). Habitat equations predicting perceived local livability for minorities during one period (2010-2015) forecast up to 75 percent of the extent to which minorities in each of the four hemispheres of the Earth are perceived to be living in a good place at a subsequent period (2016-2020).
不同地方在人们眼中对少数群体的宜居程度存在差异。但原因何在?我们从自然栖息地变异性(一年中白昼时长、温度和每日降水量的变化)的角度寻求解释。不确定性降低理论、灵活系统理论和气候经济理论对栖息地变异性如何影响人们对少数种族和族裔、同性恋者、外国移民以及智障人士的看法提供了不同的解释。为了检验我们的假设,我们分析了来自163个国家的1332558名本地居民对这些少数群体居住地的宜居感知。我们的结果支持了这样一种理论观点,即多变的栖息地会促进灵活的社会心理系统。在栖息地变化更多的地方,少数群体被认为具有更好的宜居性。经济富裕强化了这一趋势,且这种相互作用效应由治理质量介导。这些国家层面的研究结果(R2约为0.52)证明了结构效度、同时效度、收敛效度、区分效度、实质效度和预测效度。它们显著超过了个体层面特征和观念的影响(R2约为0.03)。预测某一时期(2010 - 2015年)少数群体对当地宜居感知的栖息地方程,能够预测出在随后时期(2016 - 2020年)地球四个半球中每个半球的少数群体被认为生活在宜居之地的程度,预测准确率高达75%。